Good day. There are only two main forces in the market: the force of demand and the force of supply. Can you answer the question why tokens that were distributed to millions of people are immediately sold by these people in the first minutes of the listing? Which of these two forces do people represent at this moment?
If you know the answer, then you know what to do with this power and, most importantly, when.
What's happening with TON projects on listings?
In the beginning there was a phenomenon - Notcoin. Which set the whole trend of Telegram apps. But it is not unique in some way.
Millions of people got the drop, many of them newbies. And even with the support the project had, the first days during the listing NOT was pouring down.
Within 10 days it could be shorted and done quite safely with leverage of x15, x20.
Only after NOT did it actively go up and set a new ATH. - but it is still 1 and it is worth remembering this.
Let's move on, people are farming DOGS drops and here is the moment of listing, there are already many more people in the project and the average figures showed an average drop of $60-80.
People are never satisfied, many of them are also dissatisfied - which is surprising to me, the market will shave such greedy hamsters very cruelly, they just don't even understand it yet. - How did you guys even get many drops for tapping the screen before spring 2024?
What we see is that everyone ran to sell their drop on the listing again, millions of applications and orders for sale, DOGS was flowing decently for almost two days. And even on the green candle, it was possible to calmly hold the short further and fix even more profit.
Let's move on. The super money project CATIZEN is rolling in, which has already gathered a solvent audience, which donated the most to the project.
Many players were shaved, especially those who did not donate, so they tried to make the token more durable and fairly give tokens to those who put their money there, and not just tapped. As a result, it worked, but did not change the essence, all these people who received their drops, despite the fact that they previously donated to the project themselves, also went to drain their drops in the first hours of the listing. And no new ATH and other things, just a drain.
Short - good afternoon.
Let's move on. Hamster. The audience has gathered the largest, but what good is it for trading if this audience has not donated to the project, is not going to buy tokens, but has only lined up for the drop, which they most want to immediately dump, and the more money they were given, the faster they would dump their tokens - this is more than obvious. Since even the completely collapsed inflated expectations of players who received an average of $ 15-25, did not break the tradition, did not hold the tokens, but immediately went and began to unanimously dump them into the glass (fixing their own price for the efforts of several months, absolutely voluntarily signing that they tapped for 3-4 months for $ 15-25).
I personally have not sold a single token. It would be better if they were worth 0, but I do not value them at $25 and I am not going to fix this loss.
At the time of the hamster, it was already obvious to me that I needed to take short and make money on it; I also published my actions in the channel at the time of listing.
At the time of the Khomyak listing, I was at Crypto Summit 2024, and a very interesting story unfolded there.
The hamster listing begins, the hall is full of thousands of people, but then at one of the stands they announce a raffle for an iPhone 16, and immediately a crowd of a couple of thousand people flocked to it. The chance was at least 1 in 2000.
I look at this and at the same time open a Short on Khomyak, since working in conditions where everyone strives for FREEBIES is the only way.
I'll be honest, I didn't find it funny or sad, not at all. To stand up and shout, for example, "Hey, you hamsters! Where are you going! Listen to me!" - well, to put it mildly, it makes no sense, people are literally as if bewitched, and doing something like that, as I've found out more than once, is more expensive for yourself. Especially since I published a post in the channel at that moment and someone managed to take a short with me.
I didn’t go too far and closed the short after a day, although of course I could have held it for a little longer, the hamsters pour out drops mercilessly.
There is a very interesting mentality in the CIS - If a person earned money by catching and finding out the correct information somewhere - then he thinks he is a good guy! And if the information was incorrect, then he suddenly remembers who gave him this information, who is this scammer and info-gypsy! - And he is again a good guy, it's just that this time he was deceived.
Conclusions:
In the context of the cryptocurrency market, especially during the listing of new tokens, important patterns related to the forces of supply and demand are observed. The behavior of newcomers who are eager to immediately sell the received tokens demonstrates the lack of long-term strategies and understanding of the market. It is important to understand that at the listing stage, the new audience, as a rule, acts in a "herd", which leads to significant pressure on the token price due to mass selling.
Projects like Notcoin, DOGS, and CATIZEN, Hamster, demonstrate that even with an active and engaged audience, initial coin sales can drive prices down. A smart strategy for experienced traders is to watch these massive sell-offs and take advantage of short selling opportunities to capitalize on the short-sighted behavior of the crowd.
The situation in cryptocurrency markets shows that the ability to anticipate and perceive the collective emotions of the crowd is critical to successful trading. Understanding the mentality of hamsters and using their emotions to your advantage will allow you to achieve positive results. Understanding these patterns can be a guarantee for those who are looking for ways to trade successfully in conditions of high volatility and uncertainty.
Listings of top projects are coming soon! I think you now understand what you need to do at the listing.
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