If you are a novice or a semi-novice, after reading this article, your understanding of the currency circle and your ability to trade will definitely improve by one level. Believe me, if not, it is impossible.
Catalog:
I. Basic application logic of K-line technology.
II. What is the difference between the trading logic of altcoins and btc, and if you choose altcoins.
III. How to play in the primary market, where can I buy 100-fold coins!
Big bull before!
The market is active, and many people have come to find Doug's fans and said that they have lost a lot of money because of blindly trading, lacking basic trading concepts and methods.
Let's talk about a practical trading logic and concept, including technical analysis of K-line charts, trading concepts under trend market conditions, trading differences between BTC and altcoins, entry strategies for contracts and spot trading, and participation in potential projects of the primary ecological chain, and the gameplay of gamblers!
I. Is there any technical analysis that can accurately predict market trends?
K-line, various commonly used technical indicators, such as: Fibonacci, Bollinger Bands, moving average (MA), Kenneth, and various trends, trends, windows, M tops, cross stars, three red soldiers, etc.
It is undeniable that the technical analysis of the K-line chart is still the best way to improve the winning rate and judge the trend, but if you use them together, it is a shit! If you use it blindly, it is easy to lose everything.
Technology is a tool, and it is a tool to use its skills and methods, rather than being immutable. The conclusion is that there is no 100% accurate technical indicator, only a usage method that can prevent you from losing everything and improve your winning rate!
First: Fibonacci
This is a personal indicator that I like to use. It is still of certain reference value for judging the pressure support level of the large level. Combined with the level trend and volume indicators, the accuracy is acceptable. Of course, this requires a certain amount of time for novices to become familiar with! Generally used for 4-hour level.
Volume: Best used, look at experience, high difficulty.
Bollinger Bands, Kenneth: Generally, old traders like to call him the hindsight channel. In large levels, and when there is a big change in the overall trend of the market, the reference significance is relatively small, and it is suitable for short-term contracts, range fluctuations. That is to say, in a bear market, and when there is no market and no news, btc fluctuates back and forth. It is quite useful when you do ultra-short-term trading. However, if you put it on a larger level, it will be a bit of a hindsight. You will find that you are following the trend. Many traders who specialize in short-term contracts, only use channel indicators, are generally beginners.
Suitable for: 15 minutes, 45 minutes, one hour. You can also use a small level for auxiliary reference!
Moving average: reference to large level
So the most critical question is, if you learn these K-line indicators I mentioned, can you apply them? Applying it will help you, but it will only hinder your cognition and increase your greed.
This is the biggest difference between ordinary new leeks and professional traders.
For example: Bollinger Bands, according to technical indicators,
The first and second positions have effectively broken through the upper track, and there is not much increase above, but it has fallen rapidly.
For example, when the market is special, the interest rate cut exploded that day. If you use small-scale left-hand trading to do this order, you may not lose, but the market you missed is already losing money in your heart!!!
Long-term use of channel indicators can indeed improve the winning rate of short-term trading in range-bound market conditions.
However, this winning rate is easy to make people blindly confident and give birth to the greedy idea of making a heavy bet. This is the reason why many inexperienced traders like to take heavy bets with fans and blow up their positions. If they really understand, they will not blow up their positions!
So, what should we do in actual trading to make the correct technical analysis and market judgment?
The length of the article is limited, and there is not much to say. Here is a simple explanation of the basic logic:
First look at the big trend, determine a general direction:
For example, on the daily level of BTC on September 24, a reversal trend has begun to appear (although it has not yet fully formed). The last bottom on the daily level is higher than the previous one. As long as the 68000~70000 range is broken through and stabilized, it may really enter the next wave of upward trend. This is the end of the year. The big level is optimistic.
Knowing the big level, we are cautious to go heavy on the short side, or to hold the short side for a long time. (Note that the big trend is composed of countless small trends. When choosing a market to play short-term, do not directly copy the big trend, unless you have a lot of money and don't mind the set)
So now we don't hold it for a long time, we do interval contracts, how to operate.
Take my recent BTC as an example: Doug's big cake operation idea for the 22nd →Click to see
First of all, the big trend is bullish, but it is Sunday, the market liquidity is very large, so there is not much fluctuation. If we look at the market again to see if there is any major negative or positive news, we checked and confirmed that there is no, and then we look at the long-short ratio, which is basically flat, and we know that these four points, we can basically determine that today is a short-term market.
So the current position is 63000,
The Fibonacci average value is pulled apart, the 30-minute line, and the price range fluctuates between 62500~65000. The market is falling, so we directly hang up the 625 strong support, as long as there is no strong break, it is basically waiting for the rebound market!
In terms of the main trend of 1 hour, in fact, it has just changed, and the indicators are not obvious, but it also points to 63000
Conclusion: Big trend → small trend → current market trend (upward, downward, sideways, or high-amplitude fluctuation) → find support, resistance position. Find the opening point, stop loss point, and target point. (This depends on whether you look at the 15-minute short wave or the 1-hour one)
The trend is the result of a game of synergy in the market, supported by factors such as supply and demand, capital flow, and investor psychology. These factors will not be easily changed in a short period of time.
The big trend is composed of small trends, small trends obey the big trend, and when the trend reverses, the sensitivity of small trends is higher than that of large cycles!
Then about the long-short ratio:
Then one day, I posted a magic pill made according to the long-short ratio, which was very accurate. As a result, many fans went to learn, and some people even posted the same website, using the long-short ratio to teach trading. See this magic order →Click to see the post
Look at the k-line chart, you know if it is amazing, everyone is shouting short that day. But it is obvious that the long-short ratio is seriously imbalanced! It's still falling. Do you want to earn more than 600 million short orders for you? Is the dealer so kind?
As soon as this post came out, the next day the skirt fan pushed a group of people to learn, I am really convinced.
So it comes to the beginning of the article, any method is useful, but no routine can be applied all the time, because the market is changing.
My long-short ratio is not just about looking at the long-short ratio.
First of all, the market conditions of the day were in a high level of sideways trading, with large-scale fluctuations. In terms of news, the interest rate cut was coming on the 18th, and the sentiment was that many were panic-stricken and wait-and-see. At this time, there were high-level fluctuations, in fact, the dealer was controlling the market back and forth.
Remember that there will always be a skyrocketing needle or high-amplitude fluctuations before a big market.
At this time, I do like to use the long-short ratio and capital flow as the first evaluation criteria.
Then according to this idea, the long-short ratio must be very accurate? You have this and wait for the liquidation!
Remember, the long-short ratio you can see is released by the dealer!
For example, on the day of the interest rate cut on the 18th, all KOLs predicted that it would rise first and then fall, and the good news would turn into a short. There are 1 billion long orders in the long-short ratio. 200 million short orders. According to this judgment, should we plummet and wash these 1 billion long orders?
However, the interest rate cut of 50 basis points immediately boosted the external market such as the stock market, and the sentiment rose to 63,000. When the big market comes, the long-short ratio, trend judgment, and everything will fail. Does it mean that if the long-short ratio is high, it will make up for the rise???
Of course, many people have also said that the news will come out, and you will only know on Tuesday, and the K-line will react in advance. This is one-sided and is often used by people who only do contracts.
If the small noodles come out a week in advance, saying that there will be great news for sol next week, but what about the current trend? News and K-lines complement each other. It is true that K-lines are a collection of market changes, but they are not 100% judged correctly.
All we can do is improve the winning rate, ensure profitability, and cycle profitability. Wait for the market, don't be cleared by the market is to earn!
Then here comes the key point! Turn over and look at the altcoins?
Is the above content applicable to altcoins???
After all, we are small retail investors with thousands of u and tens of thousands of u. If we want to turn around in a bull market, we still have to look at the altcoin market! Bitcoin is now close to 70,000 and small funds can't make much money. Altcoins can give you a multiple increase!
but
This is a very speechless point in the square, many people analyze various indicators for various altcoins.
Let's just say the conclusion: Do you think a coin with a market value of only a few million or tens of millions of dollars, and you can pull a needle with a random tens of thousands of u or one million u, do you think the K-line indicator you are looking at will be completely accurate?
BTC is a skyscraper, ETH, BNB, SOL and other strong altcoins are high-rise buildings beside the skyscraper, and other small altcoins are scattered stones.
When BTC moves, they all have to move, BTC plummets, and Ethereum will fall, let alone others.
So altcoins:
More is to look at the project dynamics,
1. See if the big cake is rising or falling.
2. Is there any good news, is there anything to do, is there any good news in the surrounding ecology?
3. Look at the volume, if there is a giant whale shipping or something, if the project party is shipping secretly.
3. Look at the greed and fear value. Generally, after a altcoin is炒作 and soars, a large amount of shipments will appear due to fear. Of course, similarly, the phenomenon of chasing up after a surge will appear at the beginning.
4. Look at the positions, whether this coin is in the hands of whales, retail investors, or whales. If it is a retail investor, greed is long and panic is running. In the hands of the giant whale, pay attention to its movements. In the hands of the dealer, take the bull and take it. Don't touch it if you don't have a bull
Example, a few days ago, Doug and cati turned over 8 times the short order, and many fans followed suit.
The market fluctuated greatly that day, based on the fundamentals of this altcoin, we can completely short it, right!
Then altcoins, just pay more attention to hot sectors.
For example, ai: ai, fet
For example, the RWA that BlackRock is doing: om
For example, this year's popular meme. floki, neiro, doge
And some stronger ones of the husband chain. difi: uni
And bnb Zhao Changpeng's return.
sol has a big move recently!
These are all worth paying attention to. Basically, every time the market comes, these sectors will rise first, and then it depends on whether you can escape the top.
Then the primary market is on fire, I posted: (TERMINUS is awesome. It has risen a million times in two days!!!)
Why are there so many 100-fold coins in the market, and ordinary people can't buy them, because after they are on the exchange, there is no such space. You can check the underlying logic here. I'm not good at saying that a hundred-fold is on the chain. Only the chain can have an exchange, so friends who enter the circle later will suffer a lot in terms of cognition! !
After posting this, many fans have asked how to operate and want to learn. Okay, I will issue a tutorial. I can't say too much about being interested in the square. I can be found on all platforms.
In fact, the primary market is the real decentralization.
You can not play, but it is necessary to understand. Like many good projects before, and good coins are all used in the primary market.
In 21 years, the soil dog was very popular, and many people became millionaires. Of course, because of greed, following the trend and lack of cognition, many people lost their money and went back, so the soil dog is a synonym for wealth creation, but in the eyes of the public who did not follow the trend, its reputation is not good.
But the biggest chance for ordinary people to turn around in a bull market is gambling.
Usually you don't need to play. When the soil dog market appears, take a few hundred or a thousand u and play. Maybe tomorrow, just say one sentence, I have become a Taoist!!
Including myself, although I am now a single blogger in the secondary market, I and many early friends in the currency circle have made the first pot of gold in the primary market.
Of course, there is no financial freedom, so I have always been a professional trader, and I also help people in need while trading by myself.
Like ordi, thousands of times, pepe, bome, and neiro, which has recently been on Binance and is still soaring.
And it may also be on Binance, a million times in two days, Musk's Mars concept coin TERMINUS. (Of course, when ordinary people can buy it, it should be around a thousand times, but it is not bad. If Musk's Mars city is really built, it may continue to do great things in the future! This is also the reason for its popularity)
I bought some myself, of course don't learn from me to buy so much, although I am not a rich man, but my position is bigger than the average person, there are still hundreds of thousands. It is considered the head strength of retail investors.
It is not recommended for soil dogs to learn by themselves and operate by themselves. You can find a reliable teacher to pay for knowledge, or you can find me. My information is public and I don't charge.
Therefore, Doug usually plays some potential projects in the primary market when the bull comes. It is enough to play with a few hundred u of soil dogs. The primary market is not only soil dogs. There are also many coins that have increased by dozens of times.
Of course, looking at the market, like November last year to March this year, it was a bull market, and from May to now it is actually a bear or monkey market. It can also be called a bull market bear/
So it is said that four years of bears and one year of bulls, this year of bulls is still mixed with half a year of bears, the real ones are just in those few days, if you don't take out the Italian artillery, how can you turn around!!
Don't tell me, you are in the currency circle just to let your 10,000 become 20,000 in a bull market year?? This kind of goal, you can do it with me casually.
Final spot.
Bear market ambush, bull market earn out, now is i waiting for the market, no market to do spot.
For example, if btc rises by 5000 points, floki will double. If btc falls by 5000 points, floki will fall directly by two or three times. When there is no market, the big cake can come back, and it is too difficult for the altcoins to rise back. In this round of bull market, the funds are currently concentrated on the big cake.
In other words, if the market is not there, don't wait and operate randomly. It is difficult to pull up the market value of the exchange without major benefits.
In the early stage of this round of bull market, a single sector broke out, and the sector rotated, which was the same as before. During that time, we made nine out of ten spot orders. I'm not bragging, I posted a post at that time, which was very popular. The post is here →Click to see the post
But in May I lost hundreds of thousands, although the overall profit is still not dare to move, during that time the fans who followed you lost a lot, strictly speaking, there are not many people who made money in the entire market.
So I have been playing short-term contracts for the past few months, and I will watch the spot market after November!
Of course, during a big market, contracts can also try to roll over compound interest. When the market comes, I will operate with fans a few times. Whether it succeeds or not depends on the luck of all of us. I have also posted basic teaching on rolling over compound interest →Click to see the post
Finally, there are many details that have not been said, and there are many that I have not thought of. Some details of the K-line are also not available for writing in full,
Remember, no matter what trading you do, spot contract, primary market, is based on the market conditions, small retail investors should not do the opposite.
Then do trading, whether you do it yourself or follow the teacher, you need to have a basic logical thinking so that you will not be confused and not be slaughtered!!
Finally, if this article is helpful to you, please pay attention, like it, and forward it to more people in need to see it. It is the greatest support for me. Thank you, thank you!
Friends who want to spray, stop, I'm a noob,
Then, more detailed learning, let's communicate together, nod like attention!!1
#BTC☀ #AI概念币普涨 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥 #SOL #BNB
