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Crypto Or Stock $ETH $BTC #stock #crypto Stocks vs. Cryptocurrency: Long-Term Investment Comparison When considering long-term investments, stocks and cryptocurrencies present distinct advantages and risks. Stocks have a long history of generating wealth, typically returning 7-10% annually after inflation. They represent ownership in companies, with potential for growth and dividends, providing a more stable investment option. The stock market is regulated, offering transparency and a level of security, although prices can be volatile in the short term. Cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin and Ethereum, have attracted attention for their extraordinary returns in a short time. They offer a hedge against inflation and traditional finance, appealing to those seeking high-risk, high-reward opportunities. However, cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile, subject to rapid price fluctuations influenced by speculation and regulatory news. In conclusion, the choice between stocks and cryptocurrencies depends on individual risk tolerance and investment goals. Stocks provide stability, while cryptocurrencies offer potential for significant gains but come with higher risks. A diversified approach, incorporating both asset classes, may be the best strategy for long-term investors, balancing stability with growth potential. Always conduct thorough research before inv esting.

Crypto Or Stock

$ETH $BTC #stock #crypto
Stocks vs. Cryptocurrency: Long-Term Investment Comparison

When considering long-term investments, stocks and cryptocurrencies present distinct advantages and risks.

Stocks have a long history of generating wealth, typically returning 7-10% annually after inflation. They represent ownership in companies, with potential for growth and dividends, providing a more stable investment option. The stock market is regulated, offering transparency and a level of security, although prices can be volatile in the short term.

Cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin and Ethereum, have attracted attention for their extraordinary returns in a short time. They offer a hedge against inflation and traditional finance, appealing to those seeking high-risk, high-reward opportunities. However, cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile, subject to rapid price fluctuations influenced by speculation and regulatory news.

In conclusion, the choice between stocks and cryptocurrencies depends on individual risk tolerance and investment goals. Stocks provide stability, while cryptocurrencies offer potential for significant gains but come with higher risks. A diversified approach, incorporating both asset classes, may be the best strategy for long-term investors, balancing stability with growth potential. Always conduct thorough research before inv
esting.
𝗩đ—Čđ—œđ˜đ—Čđ—ș𝗯đ—Č𝗿 𝟭𝟮, 𝟼𝟬𝟼𝟰 🚹🚹 BREAKING: #Meta has banned Russian state media outlets on its platforms. 🚹🚹 BREAKING : #Amazon đŸ“± Requires Employees to Return to Office Full-Time. Amazon has instructed its employees to come back to the office five days a week. 🏩 JP Morgan warns of limited #stock market growth 📈 over next ten years, according to CNBC. đŸ”„ Microsoft $MSFT raised its quarterly dividend by 10% up to $0.83 per share from $0.75 per share. âšĄïžThe UK's finance trade body believes that blockchain-based ledgers could revolutionize the country's $14.5 trillion #payment industry.
𝗩đ—Čđ—œđ˜đ—Čđ—ș𝗯đ—Č𝗿 𝟭𝟮, 𝟼𝟬𝟼𝟰

🚹🚹 BREAKING: #Meta has banned Russian state media outlets on its platforms.

🚹🚹 BREAKING : #Amazon đŸ“± Requires Employees to Return to Office Full-Time.
Amazon has instructed its employees to come back to the office five days a week.

🏩 JP Morgan warns of limited #stock market growth 📈 over next ten years, according to CNBC.

đŸ”„ Microsoft $MSFT raised its quarterly dividend by 10% up to $0.83 per share from $0.75 per share.

âšĄïžThe UK's finance trade body believes that blockchain-based ledgers could revolutionize the country's $14.5 trillion #payment industry.
Here is the Dow Jones gapping down, this is the largest 30 stocks across US economy, and its recent dive reflects the fact that US 10 yields are climbing. The NASDAQ or SP500 we look at include the Magnificent Seven, and that is not an accurate read of the US economy, here have a look at the 30 stocks in the Dow Jones index, and you can see it is a better measure. So large US stocks is having a reaction to all the threats of a Rate Hike from the fed lately. But today's low GDP number made US rates and yields fall, because it shows economy is weakening, and USD is down too.... Dow Jones is also down, because it is now actually worried about the economy. If I have to make a prediction, I'd say Dow is coming into support in this area, and today could be the bottoming candle for a bounce up.#stock
Here is the Dow Jones gapping down, this is the largest 30 stocks across US economy, and its recent dive reflects the fact that US 10 yields are climbing. The NASDAQ or SP500 we look at include the Magnificent Seven, and that is not an accurate read of the US economy, here have a look at the 30 stocks in the Dow Jones index, and you can see it is a better measure. So large US stocks is having a reaction to all the threats of a Rate Hike from the fed lately. But today's low GDP number made US rates and yields fall, because it shows economy is weakening, and USD is down too.... Dow Jones is also down, because it is now actually worried about the economy. If I have to make a prediction, I'd say Dow is coming into support in this area, and today could be the bottoming candle for a bounce up.#stock
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Silver is coming into this support at low 29 area. It could bounce off this rising Red Trend line support. Silver has been acting relatively weak after a bug run up, even as USD is falling lately, Silver is still falling. But as a long term hold, I am DCAing some here at support. Keep in mind US will cut rates eventually, and will print money again. In that scenario $BTC will rocket up more, Gold will also take off, and Silver should follow gold.#stock
Silver is coming into this support at low 29 area. It could bounce off this rising Red Trend line support. Silver has been acting relatively weak after a bug run up, even as USD is falling lately, Silver is still falling. But as a long term hold, I am DCAing some here at support. Keep in mind US will cut rates eventually, and will print money again. In that scenario $BTC will rocket up more, Gold will also take off, and Silver should follow gold.#stock
Weekly would be better, for $BTC to hold the 66K area. For Tesla, it's worked itself into this massive wedge pattern, and if it breaks down below 138 area, it could signal a much bigger breakdown from this massive wedge. On the upside, it's making an inverse Head and Shoulders with the neckline at 197 area, if it can push above that, then upside target is 255. The market will tell us which way it will break. This was a CRUCIAL decision by its board to give Elon the $50 Bn bonus, because if not, then he will NOT bring AI and the Humanoid Robot to TSLA (Optimus). And if TSLA does not have Humanoid or OPtimus, then it will just be a .... car company. And as an EV car company, what does TSLA have that BYD or NIO does not have? Then why is Tesla valued at 10X more than BYD??.... So this was a crucial victory for Tesla.#stock {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Weekly would be better, for $BTC to hold the 66K area.

For Tesla, it's worked itself into this massive wedge pattern, and if it breaks down below 138 area, it could signal a much bigger breakdown from this massive wedge. On the upside, it's making an inverse Head and Shoulders with the neckline at 197 area, if it can push above that, then upside target is 255. The market will tell us which way it will break. This was a CRUCIAL decision by its board to give Elon the $50 Bn bonus, because if not, then he will NOT bring AI and the Humanoid Robot to TSLA (Optimus). And if TSLA does not have Humanoid or OPtimus, then it will just be a .... car company. And as an EV car company, what does TSLA have that BYD or NIO does not have? Then why is Tesla valued at 10X more than BYD??.... So this was a crucial victory for Tesla.#stock
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1. Nvidia, a prominent tech company, has posted Q2 revenue of $13.51 billion, exceeding the projected $11.19 billion. 2. This #revenue beat has led to a rise in Nvidia's #stock price. 3. The positive outcome has also had a favorable influence on #AI-associated #cryptocurrencies like FET, RNDR, and AGIX. 4. These cryptocurrencies have seen gains of more than 4% in the last 24 hours. 5. #Nvidia's strong financial performance has triggered a chain reaction of positive impacts on both its stock and AI-related crypto markets. $FET $RNDR $AGIX
1. Nvidia, a prominent tech company, has posted Q2 revenue of $13.51 billion, exceeding the projected $11.19 billion.

2. This #revenue beat has led to a rise in Nvidia's #stock price.

3. The positive outcome has also had a favorable influence on #AI-associated #cryptocurrencies like FET, RNDR, and AGIX.

4. These cryptocurrencies have seen gains of more than 4% in the last 24 hours.

5. #Nvidia's strong financial performance has triggered a chain reaction of positive impacts on both its stock and AI-related crypto markets.

$FET $RNDR $AGIX
Sentiment indicators improve, focusing on PCE and non-farm data👀 Compared to yesterday, fixed markets were much quieter just ahead of month-end, with bond yields hanging around unchanged, while stocks squeezed further on the ol' goldilocks theme once again. After a long-August, a certain number of sentiment indicators have flipped positive again, with the bulls-bear gear index flipping to positive on the MSCI in recent days, on the back of the piece-meal stimulus plans out of China as well as the (welcomed?) softening in economic momentum. Market activity should continue to stay light as we head into the labour day long weekend, with the market eager to get past today's PCE release and NFP on Friday in a positive manner. We expect position de-risking to be the main theme heading into the end of the week, as participants reload for what is usually a volatile September for risk markets. #PCE #bond #stock #MSCI #NFP
Sentiment indicators improve, focusing on PCE and non-farm data👀

Compared to yesterday, fixed markets were much quieter just ahead of month-end, with bond yields hanging around unchanged, while stocks squeezed further on the ol' goldilocks theme once again. After a long-August, a certain number of sentiment indicators have flipped positive again, with the bulls-bear gear index flipping to positive on the MSCI in recent days, on the back of the piece-meal stimulus plans out of China as well as the (welcomed?) softening in economic momentum.

Market activity should continue to stay light as we head into the labour day long weekend, with the market eager to get past today's PCE release and NFP on Friday in a positive manner. We expect position de-risking to be the main theme heading into the end of the week, as participants reload for what is usually a volatile September for risk markets.

#PCE #bond #stock #MSCI #NFP
Wow so the S&P almost hit my target that I drew just yesterday. I called this move on the S&P yesterday. Monster move to the upside!! They are gonna have to print that money, when they raise the debt ceiling they are gonna print more money...out of control!! #BTC #stock #crypto2023 #dyor #Binance
Wow so the S&P almost hit my target that I drew just yesterday. I called this move on the S&P yesterday. Monster move to the upside!! They are gonna have to print that money, when they raise the debt ceiling they are gonna print more money...out of control!!

#BTC #stock #crypto2023 #dyor #Binance
Hi folks, the big news here is that USD is breaking down, so are the US 2 and 10 year yields... They all have broken down out of their channels and might do a "retest" at 104.6 for USD, and then it's likely headed down. Market is waiting for confirmation, and that is why BTC is above 70K again, cocked and loaded, ready to go.... My last message was that the Fed would like to hike rates one or 2 more times, which is why they keep draggin their feet at rate cuts. BUT the economy MAY NOT allow them to drag it on, US economy is starting to see some weakness. Again, this is my Boxer analogy, he wants to keep swinging for a knock out after 12 rounds, refusing to go to the toilet, but he might burst in his pants if he keeps holding out for too long. So this is all looking good for BTC, and if BTC gets above 73K and confirms, then I think the retail money will finally get all those BTC at new ATH headlines and come into crypto, then we have a more general bull market where many narratives pump at the same time. I am flying to Fiji, so I'll keep the messages brief for next few days. On Wed US we have the Services PMI, and on Friday NFP jobs, and on Thursday we have Europe deciding to cut rates or not.... These are now MORE important because they are happening in a week where it looks like the USD is breaking down, so they could help give the final push to get USD down. If so, then so many assets will take off, US stocks $BTC (and later altcoins) and Gold/Silver as well, China/HK stocks too.#stock {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Hi folks, the big news here is that USD is breaking down, so are the US 2 and 10 year yields... They all have broken down out of their channels and might do a "retest" at 104.6 for USD, and then it's likely headed down. Market is waiting for confirmation, and that is why BTC is above 70K again, cocked and loaded, ready to go.... My last message was that the Fed would like to hike rates one or 2 more times, which is why they keep draggin their feet at rate cuts. BUT the economy MAY NOT allow them to drag it on, US economy is starting to see some weakness. Again, this is my Boxer analogy, he wants to keep swinging for a knock out after 12 rounds, refusing to go to the toilet, but he might burst in his pants if he keeps holding out for too long. So this is all looking good for BTC, and if BTC gets above 73K and confirms, then I think the retail money will finally get all those BTC at new ATH headlines and come into crypto, then we have a more general bull market where many narratives pump at the same time. I am flying to Fiji, so I'll keep the messages brief for next few days. On Wed US we have the Services PMI, and on Friday NFP jobs, and on Thursday we have Europe deciding to cut rates or not.... These are now MORE important because they are happening in a week where it looks like the USD is breaking down, so they could help give the final push to get USD down. If so, then so many assets will take off, US stocks $BTC (and later altcoins) and Gold/Silver as well, China/HK stocks too.#stock
Crypto Currencies: Complex Relationship with Global Markets (stock - gold - oil - dollar)Digital currencies have emerged as one of the most significant economic developments in the past decade, revolutionizing the world of finance and business. However, the relationship between digital currencies and global markets remains intricate and far from clear-cut. The Relationship with Global Markets Digital currencies are closely intertwined with global markets, exerting influence on the performance of stocks, bonds, and commodities. For instance, when digital currency prices rise, this often leads to an uptick in stock prices, as investors perceive digital currencies as an attractive alternative to investing in stocks. In general, the relationship between digital currencies and global markets can be categorized into three classes: Positive Relationship: Digital currency prices rise with increasing stock prices. Negative Relationship: Digital currency prices fall when stock prices decline. Unrelated Relationship: Digital currency prices are unaffected by stock prices. The Relationship with the Gold and Oil Markets Digital currencies also have a connection with the gold and oil markets, as these commodities serve as appealing alternatives for investors in the digital currency space. When digital currency prices drop, this often results in higher gold and oil prices, as investors seek safe havens for their capital. Broadly speaking, the relationship between digital currencies and the gold and oil markets can be divided into three categories: Positive Relationship: Digital currency prices rise with increasing gold and oil prices. Negative Relationship: Digital currency prices fall when gold and oil prices decline. Unrelated Relationship: Digital currency prices are unaffected by gold and oil prices. The Relationship with U.S. Dollar and Interest Rates Digital currencies are also linked to the U.S. dollar and interest rates, with these factors playing crucial roles in influencing the value of digital currencies. When the U.S. dollar strengthens, it often leads to a decrease in digital currency prices, as investors favor currencies with greater purchasing power. In general, the relationship between digital currencies and U.S. dollar and interest rates can be categorized into three classes: Inverse Relationship: Digital currency prices decline as the U.S. dollar and U.S. interest rates rise. Direct Relationship: Digital currency prices rise when the U.S. dollar and U.S. interest rates fall. Unrelated Relationship: Digital currency prices are unaffected by U.S. dollar and interest rates. The relationship between digital currencies and global markets is intricate and far from straightforward. Nevertheless, it is evident that digital currencies have become an economic force that cannot be ignored, and they are expected to continue impacting global markets in the future. Other Intriguing Topics Don't forget to follow up and suggest to us in the comments the topic for the next discussion from these topics. The Future of Digital Currencies Legal Regulation of Digital Currencies Risks and Benefits of Digital Currencies Applications of Digital Currencies #gold #doller #crypto2023 #stock

Crypto Currencies: Complex Relationship with Global Markets (stock - gold - oil - dollar)

Digital currencies have emerged as one of the most significant economic developments in the past decade, revolutionizing the world of finance and business. However, the relationship between digital currencies and global markets remains intricate and far from clear-cut.

The Relationship with Global Markets

Digital currencies are closely intertwined with global markets, exerting influence on the performance of stocks, bonds, and commodities. For instance, when digital currency prices rise, this often leads to an uptick in stock prices, as investors perceive digital currencies as an attractive alternative to investing in stocks.

In general, the relationship between digital currencies and global markets can be categorized into three classes:

Positive Relationship: Digital currency prices rise with increasing stock prices.

Negative Relationship: Digital currency prices fall when stock prices decline.

Unrelated Relationship: Digital currency prices are unaffected by stock prices.

The Relationship with the Gold and Oil Markets

Digital currencies also have a connection with the gold and oil markets, as these commodities serve as appealing alternatives for investors in the digital currency space. When digital currency prices drop, this often results in higher gold and oil prices, as investors seek safe havens for their capital.

Broadly speaking, the relationship between digital currencies and the gold and oil markets can be divided into three categories:

Positive Relationship: Digital currency prices rise with increasing gold and oil prices.

Negative Relationship: Digital currency prices fall when gold and oil prices decline.

Unrelated Relationship: Digital currency prices are unaffected by gold and oil prices.

The Relationship with U.S. Dollar and Interest Rates

Digital currencies are also linked to the U.S. dollar and interest rates, with these factors playing crucial roles in influencing the value of digital currencies. When the U.S. dollar strengthens, it often leads to a decrease in digital currency prices, as investors favor currencies with greater purchasing power.

In general, the relationship between digital currencies and U.S. dollar and interest rates can be categorized into three classes:

Inverse Relationship: Digital currency prices decline as the U.S. dollar and U.S. interest rates rise.

Direct Relationship: Digital currency prices rise when the U.S. dollar and U.S. interest rates fall.

Unrelated Relationship: Digital currency prices are unaffected by U.S. dollar and interest rates.

The relationship between digital currencies and global markets is intricate and far from straightforward. Nevertheless, it is evident that digital currencies have become an economic force that cannot be ignored, and they are expected to continue impacting global markets in the future.

Other Intriguing Topics

Don't forget to follow up and suggest to us in the comments the topic for the next discussion from these topics.

The Future of Digital Currencies

Legal Regulation of Digital Currencies

Risks and Benefits of Digital Currencies

Applications of Digital Currencies

#gold #doller #crypto2023 #stock
Yeah Trump elected with Elon's help is very bullish for $BTC , and probably $DOGE to the moon as well in that scenario. However on rate cuts, we just saw US GDP come in lower, and it's quite a low number to make Dow Jones gap down. And 2hrs later they interviewed Williams, and he is still saying not to move the interest rates, as in at least hold it in place. I understand that it is an election year, the Fed is under pressure from Biden to deliver at least one rate cut..... but the Big Banks behind the Fed thinks they are close to causing a crash in the China Yuan (like they did to the Russian Rouble in 1998). They might want to hold on, or even hike one more time. Why else would all these Fed presidents come out and talk about hiking one or two more times? If they don't then they lose their cerdibility. It could be just a threat, but the point is they obviously want to talk the US interest rates and yields up, at least they want the market to lift up those rates without them having to actually hike. (And I think the probability of the Fed hiking is easily larger than what the market is priced in, and as I always said the US economy might tank before the Fed can get a chance to hike. They are playing with fire, holding rates high to crash China's currency, not doing what is right for US economy).#stock
Yeah Trump elected with Elon's help is very bullish for $BTC , and probably $DOGE to the moon as well in that scenario. However on rate cuts, we just saw US GDP come in lower, and it's quite a low number to make Dow Jones gap down. And 2hrs later they interviewed Williams, and he is still saying not to move the interest rates, as in at least hold it in place. I understand that it is an election year, the Fed is under pressure from Biden to deliver at least one rate cut..... but the Big Banks behind the Fed thinks they are close to causing a crash in the China Yuan (like they did to the Russian Rouble in 1998). They might want to hold on, or even hike one more time. Why else would all these Fed presidents come out and talk about hiking one or two more times? If they don't then they lose their cerdibility. It could be just a threat, but the point is they obviously want to talk the US interest rates and yields up, at least they want the market to lift up those rates without them having to actually hike. (And I think the probability of the Fed hiking is easily larger than what the market is priced in, and as I always said the US economy might tank before the Fed can get a chance to hike. They are playing with fire, holding rates high to crash China's currency, not doing what is right for US economy).#stock
These economic numbers are mostly hot across all areas, stronger jobs numbers than expected, so there is no need to do a rate cut. The Fed can delay rate cut or even do a rate hike is still possible. The only weakness here is that Unemployment rate hit 4.0%. So the earnings per hr are higher which causes inflation, and the number of jobs is stronger than expected. The Fed will use this as an excuse to HOLD rates high, and maybe even HIKE rates. As I have said for months now, I think the market got it wrong, and that Fed really WANTS to hike rates, so they can crash China’s Yuan and especially the Chinese real estate sector. Basically, a lot of large Chinese real estate companies borrowed in USD when US rates were at 0% during Covid, but now during a rate hike by the Fed a lot of them have to pay much higher interest rate, and also pay a HIGHER USD exchange rate. Plus on top of it, Wall St tries to kill the Chinese Real Estate sector by downgrading its bonds to Debt, and using media to scare everyone about the “Chinese Ghost Cities” and how China Real Estate is gonna b China’s GFC etc
 US controls the ratings agencies (which famously did NOT warn against its own housing GFC in 2009), but they are very good at downgrading Chinese property bonds. And US owns all the major media outlets, such as Wall St Journal, Economist, NYT etc
. Which are obviously doing a co-ordinated attack on China real estate saying it will “Collapse”. Whilst the market kept predicting 6 rate cuts this year, I kept saying NO, the Fed actually WANTS to hike rates. Because the Fed does not work for the American people it works for all the Wall St Big Banks, and they want to crash Chinese Yuan and Real Estate, so they can go in and scoop it all up at major discounts. Do you finally see it now? #stock
These economic numbers are mostly hot across all areas, stronger jobs numbers than expected, so there is no need to do a rate cut. The Fed can delay rate cut or even do a rate hike is still possible. The only weakness here is that Unemployment rate hit 4.0%. So the earnings per hr are higher which causes inflation, and the number of jobs is stronger than expected. The Fed will use this as an excuse to HOLD rates high, and maybe even HIKE rates. As I have said for months now, I think the market got it wrong, and that Fed really WANTS to hike rates, so they can crash China’s Yuan and especially the Chinese real estate sector. Basically, a lot of large Chinese real estate companies borrowed in USD when US rates were at 0% during Covid, but now during a rate hike by the Fed a lot of them have to pay much higher interest rate, and also pay a HIGHER USD exchange rate. Plus on top of it, Wall St tries to kill the Chinese Real Estate sector by downgrading its bonds to Debt, and using media to scare everyone about the “Chinese Ghost Cities” and how China Real Estate is gonna b China’s GFC etc
 US controls the ratings agencies (which famously did NOT warn against its own housing GFC in 2009), but they are very good at downgrading Chinese property bonds. And US owns all the major media outlets, such as Wall St Journal, Economist, NYT etc
. Which are obviously doing a co-ordinated attack on China real estate saying it will “Collapse”. Whilst the market kept predicting 6 rate cuts this year, I kept saying NO, the Fed actually WANTS to hike rates. Because the Fed does not work for the American people it works for all the Wall St Big Banks, and they want to crash Chinese Yuan and Real Estate, so they can go in and scoop it all up at major discounts. Do you finally see it now?
#stock
Stock market rebound is hindered, and technical indicators show a rare downward trend.😯 Stock markets tried to stage yet another 'goldilocks rally', as the jobs number was seen to be lukewarm enough to keep the Fed from any further raises. But markets saw an abrupt selling after 1pm NYT mark, with the SPX dropping a swift 1.5% on no news, a technically bearish price action that we haven't really observed since the rally began in March. After post Q2 earnings, Apple has completely broken YTD trendline to the downside, equity VIX has also spiked from its 4-month slumber. Now most market participants are bullish and long exposures are back to historic highs, might a temporary equity market peak precede a challenging fall? Time will reveal, with Wednesday's CPI potentially adding a crucial piece. #stock #YTD #SPX #CPI #Apple
Stock market rebound is hindered, and technical indicators show a rare downward trend.😯

Stock markets tried to stage yet another 'goldilocks rally', as the jobs number was seen to be lukewarm enough to keep the Fed from any further raises. But markets saw an abrupt selling after 1pm NYT mark, with the SPX dropping a swift 1.5% on no news, a technically bearish price action that we haven't really observed since the rally began in March. After post Q2 earnings, Apple has completely broken YTD trendline to the downside, equity VIX has also spiked from its 4-month slumber. Now most market participants are bullish and long exposures are back to historic highs, might a temporary equity market peak precede a challenging fall? Time will reveal, with Wednesday's CPI potentially adding a crucial piece.

#stock #YTD #SPX #CPI #Apple
Increased volatility in the US stock market, awaiting non-farm payroll data on Friday.đŸ€” Speaking of expensive, this current widening of US real rates (wider) has increased its cross-asset divergence against equities, as reflected in the form of a widening gap between forward SPX PE ratio and real rates. US equities did finally have a down day as the SPX closed down -1.4%, led by weakness in tech and consumer names as bond yields blew out. However, with NFP on deck for Friday, and Apple due to report after the market close today, we would expect the next bigger move in equities to be driven off these releases. #stock #US #SPX #Apple #equities
Increased volatility in the US stock market, awaiting non-farm payroll data on Friday.đŸ€”

Speaking of expensive, this current widening of US real rates (wider) has increased its cross-asset divergence against equities, as reflected in the form of a widening gap between forward SPX PE ratio and real rates. US equities did finally have a down day as the SPX closed down -1.4%, led by weakness in tech and consumer names as bond yields blew out. However, with NFP on deck for Friday, and Apple due to report after the market close today, we would expect the next bigger move in equities to be driven off these releases.

#stock #US #SPX #Apple #equities
Global stock markets are facing a dual challengeđŸ˜Č While Chinese equities sold off on continued pessimism over local activity, US equities similarly faltered as higher rates are starting to give stock investors concerns again, especially considering that the gap between 10y real rates (inflation-adjusted) and SPX 12-month forward PE multiple remains wide. SPX futures touched a one-month low yesterday with regional banks (-3%) and energy (-2%) particularly hard hit. Technically speaking, futures should support around the 4450 level, especially with the bearish China sentiment feeling a bit overdone in the interim; however, the longer-term move will likely depend on where longer-term bond yields go from here, and whether we'll have another 'taper-tantrum' special in the fall as a more ominous development. #stock #SPX #bank #bond #equity
Global stock markets are facing a dual challengeđŸ˜Č

While Chinese equities sold off on continued pessimism over local activity, US equities similarly faltered as higher rates are starting to give stock investors concerns again, especially considering that the gap between 10y real rates (inflation-adjusted) and SPX 12-month forward PE multiple remains wide. SPX futures touched a one-month low yesterday with regional banks (-3%) and energy (-2%) particularly hard hit. Technically speaking, futures should support around the 4450 level, especially with the bearish China sentiment feeling a bit overdone in the interim; however, the longer-term move will likely depend on where longer-term bond yields go from here, and whether we'll have another 'taper-tantrum' special in the fall as a more ominous development.

#stock #SPX #bank #bond #equity
A bipartisan group of United States senators has renewed efforts to push through laws that will ban members of Congress from trading stocks. In a July 9 letter to House Speaker Mike Johnson and Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, a bipartisan group of 20 senators proposed an amendment to the Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge Act c 2012 to stop lawmakers from stock trading. “Congress should not be here to makeabuck"said US Senator Josh Hawley at a press conference. "There is no reason why members of Congress ought to be profiting off of the information that only they get and the rest of the American people don't get." The Senators also noted that 97 members had traded stocks where the committees they oversaw had a direct impact and that members of Congress had, on average, outperformed the S&P 500 by 17.5%. The senators cited a recent investigation that found that one in seven sitting members of Congress had violated the STOCK Act between 2021 and 2023. The proposed amendment to the STOCK Act would ban sitting congresspeople from trading within 90 days of the bill being signed. Additionally, it would ban the sitting president, vice president, and the spouses and dependent children of all sitting Congress members from trading stocks beginning in March 2027. The penalty for violating the new laws would be a fine of 10% of the value of the asset traded, a significant step up from the current penalty, which is just $250 per transgression. "It is abundantly clear that more is needed to stop this type of behavior that is not only unethical but also undermines the public trust in our democratic institutions,” wrote the Senators in their letter. "Members of Congress should be working in service of their constituents, not using their positions to line their own pockets" Senator Golden said in a July 9 statement. Members of the House first proposed major amendments to the STOCK Act in January 2022, in a letter addressed to then-Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy. #trade #stock #govt #money
A bipartisan group of United States senators has renewed efforts to push through laws that will ban members of Congress from trading stocks. In a July 9 letter to House Speaker Mike Johnson and Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, a bipartisan group of 20 senators proposed an amendment to the Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge Act c 2012 to stop lawmakers from stock trading. “Congress should not be here to makeabuck"said US Senator Josh Hawley at a press conference. "There is no reason why members of Congress ought to be profiting off of the information that only they get and the rest of the American people don't get." The Senators also noted that 97 members had traded stocks where the committees they oversaw had a direct impact and that members of Congress had, on average, outperformed the S&P 500 by 17.5%. The senators cited a recent investigation that found that one in seven sitting members of Congress had violated the STOCK Act between 2021 and 2023. The proposed amendment to the STOCK Act would ban sitting congresspeople from trading within 90 days of the bill being signed. Additionally, it would ban the sitting president, vice president, and the spouses and dependent children of all sitting Congress members from trading stocks beginning in March 2027. The penalty for violating the new laws would be a fine of 10% of the value of the asset traded, a significant step up from the current penalty, which is just $250 per transgression. "It is abundantly clear that more is needed to stop this type of behavior that is not only unethical but also undermines the public trust in our democratic institutions,” wrote the Senators in their letter. "Members of Congress should be working in service of their constituents, not using their positions to line their own pockets" Senator Golden said in a July 9 statement. Members of the House first proposed major amendments to the STOCK Act in January 2022, in a letter addressed to then-Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy.
#trade #stock #govt #money
#bitcoin remains steady around the $30K mark, while #ETH slightly dips. As the #stock markets move towards "bull territory," the crypto market seems to follow suit. Analysts suggest that labor market updates from the US could impact #crypto prices in the short term.
#bitcoin remains steady around the $30K mark, while #ETH slightly dips.

As the #stock markets move towards "bull territory," the crypto market seems to follow suit. Analysts suggest that labor market updates from the US could impact #crypto prices in the short term.
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#PCC - Put Call Ratio hit 2.4 level

Whenever it was reaching these highs, it meant either significant crash or local bottom

Also #NDX shows strong bullish candle on 3D
But it needs to flip above 18353$

It should have breakout - retest - consolidation, only after that we may consider it as a bullish setup.

Otherwise #NDX may reject, or show false breakout, in this case #NDX goes lower to full-fill gaps

and only #VVIX makes me worry. It dumps pretty fast.

Thursday - Friday will be for me important days to look at. Bullish W close, will change markets further scenarios

Follow me here or in my X @VaziTrades to get more setups
For the folks investing in AI, I’ve said for a while now that I think China is in a tight race with US on AI. It would be wrong to assume US has a massive lead in AI that China can’t catch
. Then you look at the price of the AI stocks in China and USđŸ€ŁđŸ€ŁđŸ€Ł One is so much cheaper, the other one is breaking record on how big its market cap is
. you see what I mean?#stock
For the folks investing in AI, I’ve said for a while now that I think China is in a tight race with US on AI. It would be wrong to assume US has a massive lead in AI that China can’t catch
. Then you look at the price of the AI stocks in China and USđŸ€ŁđŸ€ŁđŸ€Ł One is so much cheaper, the other one is breaking record on how big its market cap is
. you see what I mean?#stock
This is historic, first time ECB cuts before USA
. in many years. But the message is still hawkish on inflation so maybe not as many cuts from ECB as originally expected. Thus USD is down after this.#stock
This is historic, first time ECB cuts before USA
. in many years. But the message is still hawkish on inflation so maybe not as many cuts from ECB as originally expected. Thus USD is down after this.#stock
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