đ¨ BREAKING NEWSđ¨
Will Bitcoin Crash After the Halving? JPMorgan Says Buckle Up, Not Moon
JPMorgan, a major investment bank, is throwing cold water on the idea of a post-halving Bitcoin price surge. In a recent note to investors, they predict a potential dip to $42,000 after the April halving event, instead of the anticipated euphoria and price increase.
Here's their thought process:
Double-Edged Sword: While the halving, which cuts the number of new Bitcoins mined in half, typically leads to price increases due to decreased supply, JPMorgan argues that the increased production cost (estimated to double from $26,500 to $53,000) could negate this effect.
Miner Exodus: Additionally, they anticipate an exodus of less efficient miners due to the rising difficulty of mining Bitcoin. This decrease in mining competition could actually lower production costs to around $42,000, as long as the decrease in hash rate (computing power) is around 20%.
JPMorgan's reasoning is based on two key assumptions:
Average electricity cost for miners: 5 cents per kilowatt hour (can vary significantly based on location and scale).
Less efficient miners leaving: This would decrease the mining difficulty and potentially lower production costs.
It's important to note that this prediction is just one perspective among many in the ever-unpredictable world of cryptocurrencies. Additionally, JPMorgan previously stated that the market has already "priced in" the halving and the upcoming Ethereum upgrade. A recent survey conducted by the bank also revealed that 78% of institutional traders have no plans to trade crypto.
So, will Bitcoin price actually fall after the halving? While JPMorgan's analysis provides a thought-provoking counterpoint to the usual bullish narrative, only time will tell.
But here's the question for you:
Do you think JPMorgan's prediction has merit, or will we see a different outcome after the halving? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
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