Discover the bullish signals for TON in November as whale accumulation, reduced exchange supply, and MVRV ratios hint at a potential Toncoin price rally.
The cryptocurrency market is gearing up for a massive bull run amid positive anticipation of the U.S. presidential election result. The bullish scenario could be suitable for high-performing assets like TON to replenish the recovery momentum. Here are three bullish charts hinting at a prolonged uptrend for the Toncoin price
By the press time, TON price traders at $4.7 with an intraday loss of 3.3%. According to CoinGecko Data, the ToncoToncoin’set cap is $11.9 Billion, while the 24-hour trading volume is $234.4 Million. Read till last line.

3 Key Charts Indicating a Major Toncoin Price Rally This November
TON has shown signs of resilience and investor confidence despite recent market corrections. Below, we explore three critical charts that indicate a potential major rally for Toncoin price in November.

Whale Accumulation and Exchange Outflows Signal Potential Toncoin Price Rally
According to Santiment data, the percentage of TON supply held by top addresses has surged steadily from 23.7% to 27.5% in the last three months. This trend often suggests increased confidence among major investors in the assetasset’s-term potential. Historically, whale accumulation has led to price bottom formation and a precursor for a sustained uptrend.

Moreover, the TON supply on exchange has dropped drastically from 2.54 Million to 1.68 Million in the last two months. Such a supply shift often precedes a rally, as reduced exchange availability can create upward pressure on the price when demand rises.
Image Source: Santiment
Plunge in MVRV Ratio Hints at Potential TON Market Rebound
Amid the recent market correction, the 30-day Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has plunged to -6.6%. The MVRV ratio is a metric that compares an asset’s capitalization to its realized capitalization, offering insights into whether the asset is overvalued or undervalued.
Generally, a negative value indicates that short-term buyers are at a loss and could capitulate if the correction is prolonged. Such exit for speculative traders often attracts long-term buyers in the market and drives a market recovery.

Image Source: Santiment
TON Price Analysis Signals Breakout from 4-Month Correction
Over the past four months, the Toncoin price has witnessed a steady correction from $8.17 to $4.7, registering a loss of 42%. The daily chart displays this correction with a downsloping trendline offering dynamic resistance to TON.
As the crypto market anticipates a bullish outlook around the upcoming U.S. presidential election, the Toncoin price shifted its bearish trajectory sideways. With sustained buying, the crypto buyers could drive an 8.5% surge to challenge the dynamic resistance. A potential breakout from this resistance could accelerate the bullish momentum and push the asset 74% to $8.2.
Image Source: Trading View
On the contrary, if sellers defend the overhead trendline, the current correction could be extended for November.

Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. You must do your own research before investing crypto markets. Crypto Wolf always trying to share valuable news. Ton coin is a next bull run crypto.

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Current Price:
At the time of analysis, the current $TON /USDT price is $5.19.
4-Hour Chart – Macro View

Resistance Zone ($5.20 - $5.24):
TON is trading near the lower boundary of its current range, indicating pressure from sellers. However, sustained volume in the coming sessions could determine if this area will hold as a short-term bottom. A breakout from $5.24 could see bullish momentum begin to emerge.
Bollinger Bands:
The bands have narrowed significantly, showing signs of compression, which typically indicates a larger move is brewing. The price is hovering just above the middle of the band, but we could see a retest of the lower boundary if sellers push further.
RSI (47.1):
The RSI is sitting in neutral territory, suggesting that TON could move in either direction. However, a break below 40 on the RSI would signal increased bearish momentum, while a move above 55 could reinvigorate buyers.
🔑 Key Insight:
The narrowing of the Bollinger Bands suggests a volatility squeeze, and price action could pick up pace soon. A decisive break above $5.24 would open the door to higher levels, targeting the $5.40-$5.50 range. Conversely, failure to hold $5.20 could see TON revisit the $5.10 mark.
1-Hour Chart – Short-Term Risk

Support Zone ($5.10 - $5.15):
The 1-hour chart is showing some recovery signs after a minor dip toward $5.10, where buyers stepped in. This support area could continue to hold, but further weakening in volume suggests that buyers may be losing confidence.
Volume Observations:
Recent volume spikes indicate increased activity, but the price action has been met with resistance around $5.20. If volume does not pick up, we could see a consolidation or even a pullback back to support levels.
EMA Crossover:
The 20-period EMA is starting to flatten, which could signal waning bullish momentum. Watch closely for any potential bearish crossovers, as these could indicate a short-term downtrend.
🔑 Key Insight:
The $5.10 support zone is crucial for short-term buyers to defend. If TON holds above this level, we could see a new attempt to break through resistance at $5.20. A decline below $5.10, however, would bring a retest of the $5.00 psychological level into focus.
15-Minute Chart – Immediate Actionable Insights

Volume Spike Alert:
On the 15-minute chart, recent volume spikes have indicated interest from both sides of the market. However, buyers appear to be getting exhausted around $5.20, and if they cannot break through, a retracement is likely.
RSI (56.6):
The RSI is slightly bullish but remains just above neutral. A further push from here could indicate an upside breakout attempt, but watch for the RSI to approach overbought levels around 65, as this could signal a pause in upward momentum.
🔑 Key Insight:
Immediate resistance at $5.20 is causing some hesitation. If TON can break above this level on increased volume, we could see a run toward $5.24 and beyond. On the downside, if selling pressure intensifies, a revisit of the $5.15 level could be imminent.
🔗 Combined Chart Analysis – Holistic View
Resistance at $5.20 - $5.24:
Across all timeframes, the $5.20 area is acting as a key resistance level. If buyers can push through this, we could see a test of higher levels, especially if volume picks up. Expect sellers to defend this zone heavily.
Support at $5.10:
The $5.10 level is crucial across the charts, and a failure to hold this could result in a deeper pullback. Watch for a strong reaction from buyers if price retests this zone.
Volatility & Momentum:
The narrowing Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart, combined with the consolidation patterns seen on the 1-hour and 15-minute charts, suggest that a larger move is imminent. Traders should remain cautious and wait for confirmation before entering new positions.
🔮 Key Takeaways:
Critical Resistance: Watch the $5.20-$5.24 zone. A breakout here could trigger a rally toward $5.40.Potential Pullback: If TON fails to hold $5.10, we may see a deeper pullback, targeting $5.00.Volatility Expected: All indicators point to a larger move ahead. Stay vigilant and look for volume confirmation.
Trade Setup & Risk Management 💡
Short Setup:
Entry: Short at $5.20 if resistance holds.Stop-Loss: Above $5.24.Target: First take-profit at $5.10, extend to $5.00 if downward momentum strengthens.
Long Setup:
Entry: Long on breakout above $5.24 or pullback to $5.10.Stop-Loss:Breakout: Below $5.15.Pullback: Below $5.05.Target: First target at $5.40, extend to $5.50 if bullish momentum sustains.
Leverage Consideration ⚖️
With 3x leverage on $1,000, you’re trading with $3,000 exposure. Manage your risk accordingly:
Long Stop-Loss: Below $5.05 for pullback entries or below $5.15 for breakout trades.Short Stop-Loss: Set stops above $5.24 to protect against a strong bullish breakout.
Final Thoughts:
TON is currently consolidating near key resistance at $5.20. A breakout above this level could spark the next leg up, but a failure could lead to a pullback to $5.10 or lower. As the Bollinger Bands suggest, volatility is likely to increase, so traders should prepare for a decisive move.
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