In my 7 years of trading crypto, I’ve found two highly profitable strategies that excel in both volatile and trending markets. Here’s a breakdown of these strategies that have consistently delivered substantial returns:
1. Momentum Strategy: For Trending Altcoins 📈
This approach capitalizes on strong market trends, making it perfect for altcoins showing solid upward momentum.
🔑 Key Elements for Momentum Longs:
- Bullish Market Structure: Look for a clear uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows. 📊
- MAs Fanned Out: Ensure short-term moving averages (MAs) are above long-term MAs and diverging. 🧮
- High Volume Breakout: Confirm strength by seeking breakouts accompanied by increased trading volume. 🚀
💡 Example:
- $SOL: When $SOL broke resistance levels and surged, it became a prime opportunity for momentum trading.
Stay tuned for the detailed Momentum strategy at the end of this guide.
2. Mean Reversion Strategy: For Ranging Altcoins 📉
This strategy thrives in sideways markets, capturing price fluctuations as they oscillate around a mean level.
🔑 Key Elements for Mean Reversion Trades:
- Resistance Rejections: Spot areas where price consistently reverses from resistance. 🛑
- Swing Failure Patterns: Identify failed attempts to break significant levels. 🔄
- Support Bounces: Look for zones where price reliably finds support. 🏗️
💡 Example:
- $LINK: During its range-bound phase, the Mean Reversion strategy provided profitable trades at key support and resistance levels.
⚖️ Pros and Cons:
Both strategies have strengths, but there’s no universal “best” method. Choose the one that aligns with your trading style and psychology.
🧠 Pro Tip:
Test Strategies: Begin with a small account to experiment with both approaches. This helps gauge your trading counterparties’ emotions and gives you an edge:
- Momentum Traders: Are they too optimistic or euphoric? 🎉
- Mean Reversion Traders: Are they cautious or panicking? 😰
To Use Both Strategies Effectively:
1. Identify Market Structure: Determine whether the market is trending or ranging. 🔍
2. Assess Price Behavior: Is the price making strong moves or oscillating sideways? 🧭
3. Set Entry/Exit Triggers: Clearly define your trade rules for entry and exit. 🎯
4. Execute & Refine: Take 30-100 trades, maintain a journal, and continually refine your strategy. 📝
💥 This systematic approach positions you to capture significant gains, especially in altcoins during bullish market conditions.
If you found this guide helpful, feel free to bookmark, retweet, or leave a comment. Your support drives me to produce more valuable content. 🙏
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#Learning #BTC #bitcoin

Understanding whether a demand or supply zone will hold can be broken down into simple yet effective criteria. Here’s how you can validate these zones using both basic and advanced approaches:

1. HTF Bias

- What It Is: Check the Higher Time Frames (HTF) to determine the overall market trend.

- How to Use:
- Bullish Market: Look for demand zones.
- Bearish Market: Look for supply zones.
- Why It Matters: Trading against the broader trend can lead to poor outcomes. Always align your trades with the HTF bias.
2. Pricing

- What It Is: Understand market pricing relative to previous highs or lows.
- How to Use:
- Bullish Market: Buy on a retrace to discount levels (below previous highs).
- Bearish Market: Sell on a retrace to premium levels (above previous lows).
- Why It Matters: Buying low and selling high increases the probability of a successful trade.
3. Orderflow

- What It Is: The direction of price movement through previous market levels.

- Types:
- Bullish Orderflow: Seen in bullish markets.
- Bearish Orderflow: Seen in bearish markets.
- How to Use: Identify where price is likely to continue moving based on the HTF bias and orderflow.
4. Liquidity Sweep

- What It Is: The market's action to break previous structure and create a Change of Character (CHoCH).

- How to Use:
- In a bearish market, look for liquidity sweeps that print a CHoCH.
- In a bullish market, look for similar sweeps and CHoCH patterns.
- Why It Matters: A liquidity sweep can confirm that a zone is significant, increasing your confidence in its validity.
5. Inducement
- What It Is: A zone that attracts many traders but eventually results in their stop losses being triggered.

- How to Use:
- If you see a zone without an inducement, it may be the actual point of interest (POI).
- Why It Matters: Identifying inducement helps in avoiding traps and improves trade accuracy.
Summary:
- HTF Bias: Determine the broader trend.
- Pricing: Buy low in a bullish market, sell high in a bearish market.
- Orderflow: Align trades with market direction.
- Liquidity Sweep: Confirm zones through price action and CHoCH.
- Inducement: Avoid common traps to validate genuine zones.
This approach ensures you’re not only aligning with the broader market trends but also making informed decisions based on price action and market behavior.

#Learning #TechnicalAnalysis

A Thread

- Identify a Target: Start by finding a target on the left side of the chart.

- Locate FVG: Look on the right side for a Fair Value Gap (FVG) to trade off of.
How FVGs are Created:

- Unmitigated Opposing PD Arrays: Understand how these create FVGs.
Types of FVGs:

- RFVG (Rejection Fair Value Gap):
- 🔍 3rd Candle: Rejection.
- 🚫 Trade: This is the worst FVG to trade from.

- PFVG (Pivot Fair Value Gap):
- 🔍 3rd Candle: Consolidation.
- ✅ Trade: This is the best FVG to trade from.

- BAG (Breakaway Gap):
- 🔍 3rd Candle: Expansion.
- ⚠️ Trade: More challenging to trade and requires additional confirmation.

Beginner's Tip:
- Stick to PFVGs: Start with PFVGs for easier practice and better understanding.
Practice:
- 📚 Case Study: Use case studies to practice identifying and analyzing FVGs.

#Learning #FVG

Dear Trader,
What I’m about to show you today contains simple but powerful methods to overcome your trading fears in 6 months! Yes, you heard me, 6 MONTHS! To get a hang of what you have to do, open this 🧵:

The Reality of FEAR
FEAR is real; it lurks behind us like a shadow, ready to devour our emotions. In this THREAD, I will show you 3 MAGIC Steps on how to overcome your fears as a TRADER. These steps work so well that it looks like EMOTIONAL SORCERY. So….. let’s get started 😊
Understanding FEAR
First things first, fear is always biological, meaning that you can’t afford to lose something of great value that poses a threat to your existence. This can be true with TRADING, especially when dealing with a scarce resource such as MONEY.
The Steps
The steps are divided into 3 categories:
STEP 1: TRADING STRATEGY
DURATION: 3 MONTHS
Your strategy is the foundation of everything you want to do as a trader. It is important to ask yourself if your STRATEGY is well-defined. Most times, your reason for being afraid is simply a lack of basic knowledge of what you do and how to do it. It’s not about learning multiple strategies, but about understanding and applying whatever you have learned.
For the first 3 months, focus on building your strategy. Here’s how:
- Pay a Mentor: Learn from someone with a proven strategy to shorten your learning curve.
- Learn it Yourself: Dedicate time to build a working strategy if you can’t afford a mentor.
NOTE: For you to build a trading strategy, it must contain two factors:
1. Simple: Easy to create and refine.
2. Repeatable: Consistent and easy to repeat.
STEP 2: RISK MANAGEMENT
DURATION: 1 MONTH
Without risk management, you won’t last long in this game. After building your strategy, shift your focus to creating a solid risk management plan. Learn the basics in one month:
1. Pips and pips value
2. Lot sizes
3. Leverage
4. Stop Loss and Targets
5. Risk to Reward
A good risk management plan is an antidote to overcoming a lot of fear in trading.
STEP 3: PSYCHOLOGY
DURATION: 2 MONTHS till Eternity
This final step is crucial. Remember, we’ve talked about strategy and risk management. Although psychology is heavily debated, without it, even the best strategy or risk plan is useless. Each plays a role and works hand in hand.
Building Your Psychology:
Write down these 5 fundamental truths about the MARKET to help manage your emotions:
1. Anything can happen in the MARKETS.
2. You don’t need to know the future to make money in the MARKETS.
3. There will always be a random distribution between wins and losses.
4. An Edge is a pattern that can repeat itself.
5. Every moment in the MARKET is unique.

Conclusion
We’ve come to the end of this THREAD 🧵. I enjoyed sharing information to help you in your trading journey. Trading is never easy, but with grit and determination, you will always find your way through.
Timeline:
- August, September, October: Build a solid strategy and backtest or forward-test it.
- November: Learn and apply risk management to your trading plan.
- December and January: Build your psychology by reading the provided books.
By February, you’ll be ready to trade the markets and refine your skills 😊

#Learning

Every ICT trader hears the same concepts repeatedly:
- Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
- Turtle Soup
- Market Structure

But how do you piece it all together into a clear, actionable strategy?
Today, I'll guide you through a simple and effective trading plan that anyone can learn.
The Foundation: Daily Bias 🛠️
Your trading plan starts with forming a daily bias. The process begins on the weekly chart and is broken down into two essential concepts:
1. IRL/ERL (Imbalance Range Low / External Range Low)
2. Candle Bias

1️⃣ IRL/ERL 🔄
- Price Target: Price is always moving towards an IRL (FVG) or a high/low (ERL).
- Market Maker Model: Each higher timeframe IRL/ERL move is accompanied by a lower timeframe market maker model.

2️⃣ Candle Bias 🕯️
- Reaction Analysis: The price's reaction to the previous candle provides your bias.
- Reversal Signals: If a previous candle's high/low is swept and the candle is engulfed, look for a reversal.
- Fib Perspective: This can also be seen as a range sweep and reversal, where fibs can be useful.

Market Maker Models 🎯
Every higher timeframe (HTF) move from IRL to ERL or vice versa features a lower timeframe (LTF) market maker model.
- Alignment: Ensure your trades are aligned with the market maker model’s target.
- Confirmation: Once the market maker model (MMXM) is confirmed, focus only on trades that follow the direction of the model’s target.

Step 2: Apply on the Daily Chart 📅
After setting up on the weekly chart, repeat the process on the daily chart.
- Alignment: Ideally, both weekly and daily charts should align for the highest probability trades.
- Clarity: If the weekly chart isn’t clear, drop down to the daily and continue until you find a clear direction.

Step 3: Move to H4/H1 for Immediate Framework ⏳
After marking IRL/ERL + Candle Bias on the Weekly & Daily charts, move down to the H4/H1 timeframes to confirm the move with market maker models.
- Intraday Framework: This will be your immediate framework for trades you take intraday.

Step 4: Time-Based Liquidity (TBL) ⏰
TBL refers to the high/low of a certain defined range in time.
- Higher Probability: These points are crucial when framing a reversal.

Step 5: Dissect Lower Timeframes for Entries 🔍
After establishing your bias and framework, dive into the lower timeframes (M15) and look for:
- M15 IRL/ERL
- Reaction to TBL + 7:30 am EST Opening Price

Pre-Trade Checklist ✅
Before entering a trade, ensure you follow this exact checklist. Now, let's dive into three LTF confirmations for your entry.

LTF Entry Confirmations 🎯
Entries will be on the M1 timeframe, with key levels on M15.
1. Market Structure Shift 🏗️
- M15 IRL/ERL: Align with your overall bias.
- M1 Shift: Look for a shift in structure with an FVG.
- Entry: Enter on the FVG, with stops above structure.
- Target: Aim for M15 opposing liquidity.

2. SMT Divergence 🔀
- Correlation Break: When correlating assets break correlation, a large move is likely.
- Combination: Combine this with a HTF key level for best results.
- Further Explanation: I’ll leave a full video at the end of the thread explaining SMT Divergence in detail.

3. iFVG 📉
- Order Flow: If one side of the order flow (FVG) is getting disrespected at a HTF key level, a reversal is likely beginning.

Study Example 📚
Let’s review an example based on the M15 strategy discussed earlier:
- TBL Swept: Beyond opening price.
- Aligned with HTF Bias: The market structure shift on LTF plus iFVG confirms the move.

By following this plan and refining your approach, you'll have a clear and structured strategy for trading with ICT principles. Study these concepts, apply them to your charts, and watch your trading skills improve! 🚀

#Learning #SMC #TechnicalAnalysis

The crypto world is once again buzzing with excitement as the second bull run unfolds. For seasoned investors like myself, this journey is not just about financial gains but also about sharing valuable insights gained through experience.Diverse Avenues for Wealth CreationIn the realm of cryptocurrency, opportunities abound for those willing to explore. From trading and investing to participating in airdrops and creating NFTs, the avenues for wealth creation are vast and diverse.1. Trading: Seizing Opportunities in VolatilityTrading QuoteTrading in cryptocurrencies offers the chance to capitalize on market fluctuations and trends. While it requires skill and timing, successful traders can reap significant profits in a short amount of time.2. Investing: Building Long-Term WealthInvesting QuoteInvesting in cryptocurrencies involves strategic decision-making and a long-term outlook. By carefully selecting promising projects and holding onto them through market cycles, investors can potentially see substantial returns over time.3. Airdrops: Unlocking Hidden ValueAirdrops MotivationAirdrops, where projects distribute tokens to holders of a specific cryptocurrency, present an opportunity to accumulate assets at no cost. Keeping an eye out for airdrop announcements can lead to unexpected windfalls.4. Blockchain Jobs: Contributing to the IndustryBlockchain QuoteEngaging in blockchain-related employment not only provides financial rewards but also allows individuals to contribute to the growth and development of the industry. From technical roles to marketing and content creation, there are opportunities for various skill sets.5. NFTs: Riding the Wave of Digital CollectiblesPower of NFTNon-fungible tokens (NFTs) have taken the digital world by storm, offering unique opportunities for creators and collectors alike. Whether it's creating original artwork or investing in digital assets, the NFT market presents exciting possibilities.6. Content Creation: Sharing Knowledge and InsightsContent Creation in SimpleContent creators play a vital role in educating and informing the crypto community. Through blogs, videos, podcasts, and social media, individuals can share their experiences, analyses, and predictions, while also building a loyal following.Embracing the Full SpectrumAs someone deeply immersed in the crypto space, I have explored and engaged in various avenues for wealth creation, with the exception of blockchain jobs. Each avenue offers its own set of challenges and rewards, contributing to a well-rounded understanding of the market dynamics.In conclusion, the second crypto bull run presents a wealth of opportunities for both seasoned investors and newcomers alike. By diversifying strategies and staying informed, individuals can navigate the ever-changing landscape of the crypto market and emerge with valuable experiences and financial gains.#Trading #Learning #NFT #Cryptojobs #Airdrop $ARKM $PIXEL $PPORTAL $BNB

🚀 🚀
A Thread 🧵
What are Inversion Fair Value Gaps (iFVGs)?

• You’ve probably heard about Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – those inefficiencies between three candles. 📉

• Inversion FVGs are created when the original FVG is flipped or disrespected, such as when a candle closes above the FVG.
• These zones can act as support or resistance in line with your trading direction.
Example: A Sell-side Imbalance Buy-side Inefficiency (SIBI) might act like a Buy-side Imbalance Sell-side Inefficiency (BISI) and vice versa. ♻️
How to Trade iFVGs?
• iFVGs can signal a market structure shift or reversal. 🔄

• Ideally, look for the price to tap into a Higher Time Frame (HTF) Premium/Discount (PD) Array, like an order block, FVG, or a significant liquidity level.
• Use iFVGs as an entry model, a confluence for trading reversals, or as a support/resistance level.
• ICT’s 2022 Model is based on iFVGs. 📊

How to Identify A+ iFVGs?

• Align with HTF Day of Life (DOL) and Order Flow.
• Look for a confluence with a breaker block, especially if it overlaps with the iFVG.
• Enter during Session Kill Zones after a clear run toward a liquidity pool. 💡

Hope you found this thread insightful! 🫶
Make sure to drop a like 🤍, follow, and share ♻️.
Got suggestions for the next thread? Drop them below!
Need help with your trading journey? Watch Profile Info 👉

#Learning #TechnicalAnalysis

🧵 Understanding Orderblocks and Breakers

1. What is an “Orderblock”?

An "Orderblock" is a price range on a chart where a significant number of buy or sell orders were executed. These blocks often indicate strong support or resistance levels, making them key areas to watch for traders
2. Bullish Orderblock

Bullish Orderblocks appear during bearish trends. They are price zones where buying activity surged, suggesting a robust support level.
2.1 Characteristics of Bullish Orderblocks:

- Identified as the last down candle or series of down candles before a notable upward price movement.
- These orderblocks act as support levels.
- Traders should consider taking LONG positions within these zones to benefit from potential price increases.
3. Bearish Orderblock

Bearish Orderblocks represent zones where significant sell orders are present. They typically emerge during uptrends and indicate a possible trend reversal.
3.1 Characteristics of Bearish Orderblocks:

- They act as resistance levels, causing the price to form Lower Highs.
- Traders should consider taking SHORT positions when the price reaches a Bearish Orderblock, anticipating a potential downward move.
4. Bullish Breaker

A Bullish Breaker occurs when a former resistance level is decisively breached, turning into a support zone.
4.1 Characteristics of Bullish Breakers:

- The breakout indicates upward momentum and attracts buyers.
- Traders use Bullish Breakers as support and look for confirmation to capitalize on bullish trends.
5. Bearish Breaker

A Bearish Breaker is a pattern where a previous support level is convincingly broken, now serving as resistance.
5.1 Characteristics of Bearish Breakers:

- This breakdown signifies downward momentum and draws sellers into the market.
- A Bearish Breaker often follows the failure of a Bullish Orderblock, marking a shift to bearish sentiment.

#Learning

Embarking on a journey in the world of cryptocurrency with just $500 and achieving financial freedom is a story worth telling. While many trading influencers charge exorbitant fees for courses, here's a guide that will cost you nothing but your time. Let’s delve into the Volume Guide and how you can build a profitable trading strategy with it.

Understanding Indicators
Traders often view indicators as magical tools for predicting price movements. However, this is a misconception. If you don’t understand how an indicator is calculated, you shouldn’t rely on it. Indicators are merely visual aids for price data and come in two primary types:
1. Price-Derived Indicators
These indicators use candlestick data in their calculations. The most common ones are:
Moving Averages: The mean of the close prices from the previous x candles.RSI (Relative Strength Index): Measures the speed and change of price movements.Bollinger Bands: Measures market volatility and provide relative definitions of high and low prices.
Example: Moving Average
Moving averages help identify trends, general market structure, and continuations.Full Moving Average Guide:
2. Counting Indicators
The formula used for these indicators is based on different data sets, not candlesticks. Examples include:
Volume: Calculated by counting total transactions.Liquidations: Calculated by counting total liquidations.Open Interest: The total number of Longs plus Shorts.
Volume Masterclass
Volume is a crucial indicator in trading, calculated by counting the total number of contracts being traded.

Example: Volume Bar
A volume bar showing 2.628 million contracts traded over 4 hours (4H chart) doesn’t mean more buyers than sellers, as each buy order needs a matching sell order.An increase in volume indicates more market participation and higher volatility.
How I Trade with Volume
Low Volume: Indicates low speculation, with steady prices and volume. This is where I often play the continuation of trends.High Volume: Indicates more market participants and increased volatility, which I use to play breakouts.
Market Participants and Volume
Understanding who is trading and why is essential. Market participants might be driven by:
- News about an asset
- Major unlocks
- BTC breaking out
- Economic data releases
- Celebrity endorsements (e.g., Elon Musk)
This leads to two types of price action:
Standard Price Action: Stable but can be low liquidity, with trades taking longer to play out.Anomalies: Occur with increased market participants, represented by outlier volume bars, and characterized by high volatility and liquidity.
Trading Strategies with Volume
Traders use various strategies to navigate different volume conditions:
Anomalies and Swing Failure Patterns (SFP)
Some traders wait for volume-based anomalies and SFPs to counter-trade the direction of price.
Mean Reversion Trading
For mean reversion traders, outlier volume bars can trigger trades on tokens that spike unexpectedly, with the expectation that the speculation will die out, participants will exit, and the price will revert to the mean.
Volume-Based Confluences
There are numerous volume-based confluences traders can utilize. Here are a few that I will cover in upcoming guides:
Mean Reversion TradingSwing Failure Pattern (SFP) GuideVolume DivergencesStrength Buying vs. Strength Selling
Stay updated by joining me for first access to these guides: https://bitly.cx/BmLHk
Sentiment Analysis through Game Theory
Using game theory to understand absorption or resistance at key levels aids in sentiment analysis:
Example: $2M in market buys hitting a $5M limit sell wall and getting absorbed.
Red volume bars show stronger sell pressure, making buyers cautious or bearish, likely leading them to exit their positions. This sentiment shift can prompt sellers to step in with more shorts.
The Role of Volume
While volume is more than a visual aid, it's still not a predictive tool for price action. No such indicator exists. It requires testing and journaling like any other indicator.
Conclusion
By understanding and leveraging volume, you can develop a robust trading strategy. Remember, no indicator is foolproof, and continual learning and adaptation are key. I hope this guide enhances your understanding and helps you on your journey to financial freedom.
Stay tuned for more detailed guides and insights.
#Learning #technical_analysis