The Greenback will be heavily dependent on the CPI outcomes tonight.
Intraday Analysis
Re-assessing the US Dollar DXY index high timeframe candles:
Yearly Candle: Last check is a Green Shaven Bottom now an Inverted Green Hammer
Monthly Candle: Last check is a Small Red Body with a very Short Head Wick now a Red Body with Longer Tail Wick
Weekly Candle: Previous close is a Red Body with Longer Tail Wick current is developing a Small Green Spinning Top
Daily Candle: Previous close is a Green Spinning Top current is developing a Green Body
The yearly candle mutation is concerning. Itâs like the US Dollar index is giving up its gains.
Contrary, the monthly and weekly candles have found support around 101.90-102 levels.
The daily candle is also showing some signs of holding near support levels.
If we assume that the current down wave is finished which started on February 14 and bottomed on March 8, then a new up wave could be starting ending the 23-day down trend.
But itâs too early to say until the CPI results tonight go in full favor of the Greenback.
Trade Plan
Mixed Friday results resulted further selling.
I am rooting for a corrective structure for this week meaning the DXY goes up first before the next drop lower.
A similar 1H 5-wave corrective structure from 103.43 to 104.29 that resulted further selling.
It will be bad idea to sell the already oversold Greenback so I will be buyer for now anticipating a stronger CPI figures tonight.
Consolidation already in its discount array since last weekâs entry.
These are the following long entries:
Buy Entry: 102.85
Stop Loss: 102.65
Take Profit: 103.15
Risk to Reward Ratio: 1.50
Conclusion
I will buy a market price, taking profit on the bearish 4H FVG full retracement and put the stop loss a little below March 10 lows.
Good luck on this one!
Trading involves risk.
Full read:
https://www.finlogix.com/analysis/20240312/us-dollar-dxy-intraday-analysis-and-trading-plan-for-march-12-2024
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