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Renowned crypto analyst Tony Severino has drawn attention to a critical technical development in Bitcoin’s market trajectory. Amid the recent price pullback, Severino pointed out a retest of the monthly upper Bollinger Band—a key indicator of market volatility and potential reversals. Sharing his analysis on the social media platform X, Severino compared the current market scenario to January 2024, which witnessed a significant price rally following a similar retest.
According to Severino’s daily candlestick chart, Bitcoin’s current price is hovering near the upper Bollinger Band, slightly above $96,000. This retest suggests that Bitcoin could be regaining strength after its recent decline. Reflecting on historical patterns, Severino noted that Bitcoin experienced an 86% price surge in early 2024 after testing the upper Bollinger Band.

Back in January 2024, following a substantial rise from late 2023, Bitcoin reached $46,000 but briefly dipped below $40,000 to test the upper Bollinger Band. This move sparked a rally, pushing Bitcoin past its previous all-time high and reaching over $70,000 by March.
Severino predicts that if Bitcoin follows a similar trajectory, it could reach $178,000—the upper range of his target zone. Another analyst anticipates Bitcoin may peak on January 20, 2025. Currently priced at $96,402, Bitcoin has declined by 2.11% in the past 24 hours and 5.4% over the last week.
The recent market correction has caused Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) to drop significantly, from 69 on December 17 to 45 today. This decline mirrors the $5.72 billion in Bitcoin gains that triggered short-term selling pressure. However, Bitcoin has consistently found RSI support at 43 since September, hinting that this level could act as a springboard for the next rally toward $178,000.
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$ETH $BNB
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice and is shared for educational purposes only.

As we dive into the current state of Bitcoin's price action, it's essential to align with historical patterns and anticipate potential moves based on market dynamics and liquidity structures. Here's a detailed outlook:
Historical Patterns and Correction Analysis
2016-2017 Bull Run: The average drawdown during this cycle was -37.5%, offering perspective on how Bitcoin consolidates and strengthens during parabolic trends.
2020-2021 Cycle: Corrections averaged -23.8%, indicating a maturing market with less extreme volatility compared to earlier cycles.
Current Price Structure and Possible Scenarios
1. A Healthy 20%-30% Correction:
If Bitcoin were to correct by this margin, the price would revisit levels around $75,000-$86,000. Such a retracement would:
Fill the CME gap at $78,000, a critical liquidity level observed by institutional and retail traders alike.
Build stronger support and reset key momentum indicators for the next leg up.
2. No Significant Corrections:
In some historical instances, Bitcoin has surged from $70,000 to $100,000 without meaningful pullbacks. While possible, this scenario could lead to overheated market conditions and a sharper correction later.
Why a Correction Is Bullish, Not Bearish
A revisit to $75,000-$86,000 would allow the market to:
Pick up liquidity and ensure that weak hands are shaken out.
Provide a healthy base for Bitcoin to continue its trajectory toward $100,000 and beyond.
Corrections are part of sustainable market growth. They ensure the market is not overleveraged and bring new buyers into the ecosystem.
Long-Term Perspective: Stay Focused
Regardless of short-term movements, Bitcoin remains a scarce and finite asset, reflecting its value proposition as digital gold. Holding through volatility has historically rewarded patient investors.
Key Takeaways for the Week
1. Plan, Don't Panic: Understand that corrections are opportunities, not setbacks.
2. Liquidity Zones: Watch for potential moves to fill the CME gap at $78,000 or consolidate in the $75,000-$86,000 range.
3. Enjoy the Holidays: Time is the most valuable asset—market fluctuations are part of the journey.
Conclusion:
As we navigate this phase, remember the big picture. Bitcoin's adoption curve and scarcity remain unparalleled. Short-term corrections pave the way for long-term growth. Relax, plan wisely, and let the market do its thing.
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#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #BTCAnalysis #CMEGap

Bitcoin ($BTC ) has been on an exhilarating ride, hitting a record high of $108,390 fueled by strong bullish momentum. However, the rally's momentum is fading, and a potential trend reversal is taking shape. Let's break down the key market insights and what lies ahead for BTC/USDT.
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What’s Happening with Bitcoin?
📉 Price Update:
Current Price: $95,356 (-1.07%)
Recent High: $108,390
Recent Low: $92,500
Bitcoin's spectacular surge met intense selling pressure, dragging the price down to $92,500 and wiping out a significant portion of its gains. The frequent price fluctuations hint at the formation of a Head & Shoulders pattern, a bearish indicator signaling a potential trend reversal.
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Key Levels to Watch
🚨 Critical Support:
$91,500: A break below this level could trigger a sharp decline, pushing Bitcoin into further downside territory.
🚀 Resistance Levels:
$97,000: Immediate resistance that Bitcoin needs to reclaim for bullish momentum.
$100,000: A psychological barrier that could reignite the rally if broken.
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What Does the Head & Shoulders Pattern Mean?
The Head & Shoulders pattern often signals a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. If the pattern completes and BTC breaks below $91,500, we could see Bitcoin slide toward the $88,000–$89,000 range in the short term.
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What’s Next for Bitcoin?
1️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
A breach below $91,500 would confirm the Head & Shoulders pattern, likely pushing prices lower.
Potential downside targets: $88,000 and $85,000.
2️⃣ Bullish Recovery:
If Bitcoin holds above $92,500 and breaks through $97,000, it could regain momentum.
Key targets: $100,000 and $103,000 in the short term.
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Strategy for Traders 🔍
🔹 Short-Term Traders: Watch for a breakdown below $91,500 for short opportunities. Set tight stop-losses to manage risk.
🔹 Long-Term Investors: Use this pullback as a chance to accumulate. Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong, and the long-term outlook is bullish.
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Final Thoughts
Bitcoin’s current price action is at a critical juncture, with the market on edge. The formation of a bearish pattern suggests caution, but the long-term bullish case for Bitcoin remains intact.
Will Bitcoin bounce back or slide further? Share your thoughts below and stay tuned for more updates as we navigate this volatile market together.
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$BTC

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Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a volatile day, with prices fluctuating significantly.

✍️Key Developments

✍️ Significant ETF Outflow:
A substantial $680 million outflow from Bitcoin ETFs occurred, amounting to 6,700 BTC. This triggered a 5% price drop, with BTC briefly dipping to $92,000.

✍️ Volatility in Major ETFs:
Grayscale and Bitwise, prominent Bitcoin ETFs, witnessed an 8% decline amid the heightened volatility.

✍️Price Recovery:
Following the initial drop, Bitcoin has shown signs of recovery, currently trading around $97,000.

✍️ Increased Demand:
A notable surge in demand has been observed, with over 26,000 BTC withdrawn from OTC Desk balances and a monthly growth of 228,000 BTC.

Technical Analysis📌

✍️Resistance Levels:
Key resistance levels are identified at $97,500 and $99,800.
✍️ Support Levels:
Support levels are likely to be around $92,000 and $90,000.

Cautious Optimism📌

✍️While the significant ETF outflow and price volatility have raised concerns, the increasing demand and signs of recovery suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook for Bitcoin.

Disclaimer...📌

✍️This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can fluctuate rapidly. It is crucial to conduct thorough research and consider your own risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.

Where to find more information..📌

✍️ Reliable Cryptocurrency News Sources: CoinDesk, Cointelegraph, Bloomberg, Reuters

Trading Platforms.....📌

✍️Binance, Coinbase, Kraken (for real-time price data and trading opportunities)
I hope this analysis provides you with a comprehensive understanding of the current Bitcoin market dynamics.

thank you for reading ...........
SJ_crypto trader

Adrian Zduńczyk, a certified market analyst, forecasts that Bitcoin price might undergo two more 20% to 30% dips before BTC hits a peak of $225,000 in this bull run. This outlook suggests that the recent crash was normal and that the uptrend will continue.

Expert Hints Bitcoin Price to Hit $225K After Two More Crashes
While the recent drop caused billions in positions to be liquidated, Saturday has seen Bitcoin price recover 7% from the December 20 swing low of $92,230. BTC currently trades at $98,859, showing strength after a brutal crypto market crash. Popular and certified analyst Adrian Zduńczyk posted to X stating that 80% of Bitcoin’s bull run is now behind us. Regarding the recent crash, Zduńczyk notes that two more 20% to 30% crashes might occur before Bitcoin price hits $225,000, an all-time high for the ongoing bull cycle.
BNC Liquid Index 1-Week Chart
He paints a bullish picture for the remaining 20% of the bull run, saying, “Real altseason will happen after BTC top.” The expert warns investors to “realize gains” before 2025 ends.

Bitcoin Technical Analysis: What BTC Needs To Resume Uptrend
Bitcoin price crashed 15% from its ATH of $108,41.6 and now trades at $98K. Using the Volume Profile indicator between November 11 and December 11 shows that 68% of the volume is concentrated between the value area high (VAH) at $100,000 and the value area low (VAL) at $90,915. Interestingly, the recent drop has brought BTC back into the 68% volume profile range.

For a bullish Bitcoin price prediction, BTC bulls need to overcome two key barriers. The VAH at $100K is the first hurdle, followed by the daily imbalance, which extends from $102.7K to $105.3K.
BTC/USDT 12-hour chart
On the other hand, if Bitcoin bears are still in control, then the ongoing recovery could face rejection at $100K or the aforementioned daily imbalance, stretching from 102.7K to $105.3K. In such a case, Bitcoin price could continue its descent and retest the range low or VAL at $90,915.

Disclamation: Recommendations, suggestions, views given by the crypto experts. It’s not financial advice. You must do your own research before investing crypto markets. Crypto Wolf is always trying to share valuable news for trading, staking, investing after our own research. Information source crypto experts analysis.

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