I hope that you have already read the post about assessing non-market risk. Because you can only think about investing if the asset fundamentally meets 3 parameters. A couple more important words about my investment strategy: I buy assets that grow in price over the long term: Nasdaq country indices, $PAXG (tokenized gold), $BTC , rare plant seeds and pieces from meteorites.📈 Growth potential in these assets: infinity ♾️📉 The potential for loss from one asset is “only” up to 100% (since this is spot, and I don’t trade futures). This is the base. But the potential for correction is always different and changes depending on what is happening in the world. In this article we will talk about assessing market risk, and this is a much more complex and interesting activity.▶️ For example, let’s take BTC. Now (and indeed always) there is risk of correction of different levels:1) up to 20% (corrective, standard haircut).2) -20-50% (crisis haircut).3) -50-80% (black swan haircut) 🦢💰 How to assess the probability of risk of each level ?This is where my work begins: analyzing the asset based on market indicators and market phase. I'll tell you about the basic level 1 indicator.The “technically easiest” indicator to use is the “Fear and Greed Index”, which I periodically write about on this channel. This is a complex indicator that includes: open interest, search queries, media sentiment, etc. And the indicator works very simply, the instructions are in just 4 words: 📈 Buy fear and sell greed 📉 This is enough to make money in the market in the short and medium term, but most people do the opposite, so they lose in the market 🤷‍♂️ Now the indicator is at 74 (greed ). I hope you understand that it is now better to do with positions in the short term :) I do not engage in trading and speculation, since trading robots cope with this task much better.🎨 My task in the market is more creative: to collect/rebalance medium- and long-term portfolios for myself and large clients .If you have large capital, I can provide consultation on your portfolio.📝 Risks of correction are always present - this is the very unknown (uncertainty) that scares all newcomers to the market. But I invest in assets that grow over the long term, so I and all my clients always have an investment position, which I rebalance according to the Fear and Greed index, as well as other higher-level indicators.⚠️ As you understand, this is a strategy that works for me, since I have many more indicators in my arsenal to accurately determine the breakdown of movements in the market. This is my profession and I make money from it. I will share different secrets, so if the post was useful, I recommend subscribing, I’m already preparing a pack of ideas with great growth potential 🚀#крипта #обучение #новичкам #прогноз #анализ

Recently I talked about alternative ways of investing in seeds of rare plants and pieces of meteorites, and this topic turns out to be of interest to many in the current realities. Therefore, a continuation of the previous post about the importance of strategically accumulating worthy assets. What other assets are growing in dollar value over the long term? 📈I hope that everyone who subscribes to this channel understands that investing in Russian assets and shares will not bring long-term success, since the currency is very local and is constantly depreciating. 🏺 Even before the birth of Christ, rich people from all over the world came to a consensus on what could be considered “passion investments.” These are the kind of hobbies where the longer you do it (and the larger your collection), the richer you become in the long term! Therefore, wealthy people come to assets that grow over the long term in absolutely all currencies at once: 1) Art objects (original paintings and books);2 ) Ancient coins and equipment; 3) Precious stones; 4) Wine, sometimes even honey (tested for centuries, as they say). etc.💰 The main value of these items: uniqueness and limited edition - that’s the whole secret.I think that in the future the world will move to an online environment and $BTC can take a strong place in “alternative investments”, since in addition to the limited edition it has additional advantages: decentralization, accessibility to everyone and the impossibility of blocking. But $ETH , unfortunately, does not have such advantages . Therefore, there are a lot of questions for him in the long term.📊 What about technical analysis? So that this post is always relevant, and not for a couple of days, I attach a monthly (!) timeframe. Each candle is 1 month. From this distance, you will not see the market noise, and if you superimpose a sine wave on a logarithmic graph, you will see that every 2 years the cycle in Bitcoin changes. Fluctuations in different directions are possible in the short term, BTC is volatile, this is normal for young assets. Bitcoin really has a generous time ahead, but even in a growing market you can lose if you approach the market emotionally. I talk about how not to fall into the trap of emotions and how to create a long-term strategy for increasing capital on this channel. There are a bunch of promising ideas ahead, subscribe 🚀#аналитика #обучение #инвестиции #долгосрок

As you can see for yourself, now it’s mainly BTC and ETH that are growing, and the rest of the coins are hanging around + - at the same levels. Why is this? If you, like me, are gaining medium-term positions in alts, then you don’t have to worry because in % alts will ultimately bring more profit than simply buying Bitcoin, but it is important to enter positions in time. Therefore, you need to buy them now, and not after they grow by another +200+300%. But paired with BTC, any altcoin will lose in the long term and this is a fact.❓ Why do alts lag behind Bitcoin? In fact, this is a fairly common phenomenon and in every bull cycle the same thing happens... And this is not a feature of the crypto market, everything happens the same way in the fund.❇️ First of all, large capital buys the most reliable assets, since they have much less risk. And only then, when all the major players have entered the flagship position (BTC on crypto or Apple on the fund), the flow of capital into less liquid shares and alts begins. As a rule, the following scheme operates in the crypto market: First there is a growth of BTC -> then a growth of ETH -> other coins from the TOP 10 -> alts from the TOP 100, etc.❗️ Of course, there are exceptions and some alts are growing stronger than the entire market, but this is only due to the fact that such alts have very low capitalization and in such coins they simply no sellers.Sooner or later, there comes a time when liquidity from Bitcoin begins to flow into alts. As a rule, at such moments Bitcoin goes sideways, and alts begin to shoot by hundreds of%. At this moment, usually a crowd of newcomers comes who buy the market on the highs and after that the market starts to decline 📉 Therefore, it is better to make purchases in alts now, and not when there is massive hype for this matter. Now Bitcoin's dominance continues to grow, and many alts have risen +100-200% from their bottom! Imagine what will happen to alts when Bitcoin's dominance begins to fall? The answer is obvious - the rapid growth of alts. In this blog I share my personal experience and how I control risks on client accounts. I talk about how not to fall into the trap of emotions and how to create a long-term strategy for increasing capital on this channel. There are a bunch of promising ideas ahead, subscribe 🚀#альтсезон #прогноз #новичкам #обучение #прогноз