The first catalyst is the launch of spot bitcoin ETFs, which are traded on major stock exchanges and allow investors to buy and sell bitcoin shares through their existing brokerage accounts. Ark Invest believes this will reduce the learning curve and operational complexities associated with direct investments in bitcoin.

The second catalyst is the upcoming Bitcoin halving, which will reduce the inflation rate of bitcoin from ~1.8% to ~0.9%. Ark Invest claims that historically, each halving event has coincided with the beginnings of a bull market for bitcoin.

The third catalyst is the regulatory developments, such as the potential passage of a U.S. bill establishing a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, and the implementation of Europe’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation, which mandates licensing for crypto wallet providers and exchanges in the EU. Ark Invest argues that these developments will advance the push for more transparent and open global crypto regulation.

The fourth catalyst is the institutional acceptance, which refers to the shift in perception of bitcoin from a speculative instrument to a strategic investment in a diversified portfolio. Ark Invest cites the example of Larry Fink, CEO of Blackrock, who has shifted his stance from bitcoin skepticism to its potential as a ‘flight to quality.

From Ark Invest

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