From four years to small cycles, Miles Deutscher reveals a new risk management approach!

On January 8, cryptocurrency analyst Miles Deutscher stated on social media that investors in the crypto market should abandon the traditional 'four-year cycle' mindset and instead adopt a model of 'multiple small risk cycles.'

He pointed out that this shift in thinking can not only improve investment efficiency but also help investors better cope with the rapidly changing market environment.

Core viewpoint: Why change the cycle mindset?

Miles Deutscher summarized the three major advantages of the 'multiple small risk cycles' model:

1. Optimize risk management: The margin for error is smaller, and investors need to choose entry and exit points more precisely.

2. Accelerate research speed: In small cycles, market fluctuations are frequent, and decisive decisions must be made when conditions align, avoiding hesitation.

3. Avoid blind holdings: Regularly reassess investment theories and positions to ensure that every step is based on the latest market information.

Why is the traditional four-year cycle no longer applicable?

Miles Deutscher indicated that with increased market liquidity, deeper institutional participation, and more macroeconomic variables, the operational logic of the crypto market is no longer the same as the previous four-year halving-driven bull and bear cycles. Nowadays, the market pace is faster, and risks are more complex, requiring investors to have more flexible response strategies.

How should investors adjust their strategies?

• Frequently review the investment portfolio: Holdings are not 'set and forget' and need to be continually adjusted based on market changes.

• Seize small cycle opportunities: Be adept at finding profit points in local markets rather than waiting for long-term trends.

• Focus on data and research: Take the time to learn about new market trends and project fundamentals to timely grasp market dynamics.

Community hot discussion: Cycle change, are you ready?

Miles' viewpoint has sparked lively discussions in the community, with many users agreeing that small cycle investments can help improve returns, but others believe that overly frequent adjustments may lead to chasing highs and selling lows.

What do you think?

• Is it time to change your investment mindset?

• In the current market environment, how would you adjust your investment strategy?

Feel free to leave a comment and share your thoughts. Let’s find new profit opportunities in small cycles together! #加密市场回调