Current small prediction regarding the market: The market may reach its cyclical peak in Q1 2025, followed by a correction from April to October, and after a rebound at the end of the year, officially entering a bear market in 2026. In the short term, attention should be paid to the risk nodes between January 20 and 28.
Today's key market highlights:
1. Market capital inflow: BTC ETF had a net inflow of $970 million yesterday, and ETH ETF had a net inflow of $120 million.
2. Bitcoin has shown signs of fatigue after seven consecutive days of gains; watch for possible adjustment risks on January 20. SOL surged to 223 last night and can continue to be monitored, as the upward structure has not been broken.
3. On January 17, Trump’s inauguration ball will be held, with tickets priced at $2500, and the industry sentiment is enthusiastic. Should we go?
4. Whale movements: LINK continues to see accumulation by whales, with a latest purchase of 30,987 tokens. AAVE and ENA whales have transferred tokens to Binance.
5. DOGE: Twitter (X) may hype the acceptance of Doge payments, with related narratives gaining traction.
6. Unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data will be released on Friday, requiring attention to risk control. There are no expectations for interest rate cuts in January, which may affect market sentiment.
Be cautious about recent risk nodes and set stop-loss points. Pay attention to the movements of large funds and hot events, and adjust strategies accordingly.
