Wishing everyone a happy new year! In 2025, may you reach new heights in your career and enjoy a happy and fulfilling family life!
In the past year, we witnessed the historic moment when Bitcoin surpassed $100,000, while also enduring the psychological tests brought on by the market's extreme volatility. From the rise of the AI sector at the beginning of the year to the frenzied expansion of meme coins, and finally to the steady rise of American coins by the end of the year, the crypto market has been both brilliant and contradictory. The core driving forces remain global liquidity and macroeconomics. Currently, the US dollar index, US stocks, gold, and Bitcoin are all at historical highs, and liquidity tightening has become an established fact. In this context, the altcoin season is more driven by emotional aspirations, and actual launches are still constrained by funding conditions and regulatory environments.
In 2024, I tracked high-performing tokens such as WLD, PePe, ONDO, and Sui, while also experiencing projects like RDNT, which had solid fundamentals but poor execution. Reflecting on this year, I found that many people had unreasonable position distributions, overly concentrated in a single sector or betting on high leverage. Especially for those friends who invested hundreds of thousands of dollars in leverage on tokens with a market cap of only $300 million to $500 million, the market's weak liquidity and fragmented token structure make such actions extremely risky. For friends who are betting large amounts on altcoins, it should be noted that the current altcoin market lacks sufficient liquidity to support excessively large leveraged positions. (In the past year, I have seen no fewer than five individuals with over $7 million in funds on the verge of bankruptcy due to high leverage in altcoin bets.)
I advise everyone to lower unrealistic return expectations in 2025 and focus on projects that truly have technological value and application prospects, rather than blindly chasing market sentiment rotations.
Wishing everyone a successful investment journey in the new year and abundant returns!
