The spot premium index stabilizes, is a bullish dawn beginning to appear?

Recently, the market has been volatile, and the subtle changes in the spot premium index are quietly revealing key signals to us. Currently, the spot premium index has initially shown signs of stabilizing and bottoming out. Compared to the levels before the U.S. stock market opened on Monday, although prices have slightly declined, what is noteworthy is that the premium level has instead increased.

Behind this phenomenon lies a profound market logic. Among the many factors driving prices down, the role of the futures market is gradually increasing; while in the composition of forces supporting price rebounds, the proportion of spot buying is also showing a significant upward trend.

Based on historical experience and market rules, it can be inferred that under the current conditions, the subsequent market trend is likely to develop in two directions: firstly, the market is expected to welcome a strong rebound, confirming that the previous decline was merely a false breakdown shakeout, signaling the start of a counterattack for the bulls; secondly, the market may experience a final round of accelerated decline, which will also indicate the formal end of the correction phase, after which the market will regain an upward trend.

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