Based on the current market's pullback and trend, compared to historical trends, we have set relatively lenient conditions with the aim of acquiring more data for reference.
By comparing with eight key historical time points, we found that one time point saw a rapid decline into a bear market within a month, while another did not enter a bear market until more than a month later. The remaining six time points maintained an upward trend for at least a month, with the strongest upward phase lasting even five months.
If we adjust the conditions to be stricter, the current trend resembles the situation from December 2020 to January 2021. Therefore, I still believe the bull market is likely to continue.
Of course, the market still requires continuous observation. If the trends in January and February do not meet expectations, I will adjust my positions, reducing my holdings to half a BTC and preparing to respond to potential corrections. As for the market conditions in 2025, according to my expectations, there is no need to liquidate positions before the entire first half of the year.
