This bull run feels a bit different from previous ones. Initially, we might see $BTC taking off while smaller investors, frustrated with stagnant altcoins, might sell at a loss, closing their long positions and opening shorts. Eventually, though, altcoins are likely to follow. Unlike past cycles, I don’t expect massive 30x or 50x gains across the board. If you see returns between 5x and 10x, consider that a win. With more coins entering the market, it becomes harder for any single one to skyrocket. While some may still achieve 50x returns, they’ll be rare, like finding a needle in a haystack. Ironically, the coins that may gain the most could be the ones with low investor interest or utility.
For context, coins like Stellar and $XRP , which saw 500x gains in 2017, managed only 10x to 20x in 2021, and this trend could slow further. Nevertheless, altcoins are likely to rally in this cycle too, or else small investors might turn to assets like precious metals, weakening the dollar and potentially increasing inflation. Exchanges like Binance also benefit from a broad market rally rather than a one-sided rise, so they have a vested interest in keeping interest across different assets.
One thing to note: this bull run might unfold in stages. Some coins, like Sol and Doge, may have already seen the bulk of their rally. After small investors cycle out of their current positions, we might see fresh interest in $ETH staking coins, DeFi tokens, layer-1 projects, BNB Chain, and fan tokens. The specific order doesn’t matter as much, but the rotation could drive waves of momentum across different sectors.
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