The U.S. debt situation, which has surpassed the $35 trillion mark, has begun to worry prominent figures in the finance world who acknowledge the gravity of the situation. Stanley Druckenmiller, known for his performance at Duquesne Capital, where he made millions for his investors, has recently warned about the dangers of the budget deficit and the size of the U.S. debt.
In an interview with Nicolai Tangen, CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management, Druckenmiller stated that he, as an American, was obsessed with this topic, given that the debt to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio could not go up forever. In this sense, Druckenmiller remarked:
To me, we have a reckoning but I don’t know how the time when that’s going to take place.
Duquesne’s Family Office’s head explained that the U.S. dollar’s status as the world’s reserve currency had helped the country sustain this situation, as it has allowed it to not get “less trust” from its creditors. However, Druckenmiller acknowledged that this case was not sustainable but that due to several post-COVID conditions, this crisis had been rolled over to 2025 or 2026.
“If we’re going to have a problem it’s probably more like late 25 or early 26 but you just don’t know,” Druckenmiller assessed. Druckenmiller explained this crisis might be unleashed by a failed auction, or by an inflationary outbreak created by the recent Federal Reserve early interest rate cuts. “Honestly it could be 6 months it could be 6 years, I just don’t know,” he concluded.
Last month Druckenmiller reported he was involved in a short position on bonds, betting on the Fed getting the market timing wrong and having to raise interest rates again. He has criticized the Fed’s forward guidance-based approach, which might get the institution to delay a response to an inflationary outbreak.
Read more: Stanley Druckenmiller’s ‘Big Short’ Move: Betting on Future Disaster