Solana (SOL) Analysis Across Timeframes
Daily Chart:
Trend: SOL has seen a strong uptrend, recently breaking past the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages (now at 159.48, 150.22, and 152.32 respectively), showcasing its bullish momentum.
Volume: Volume has been rising steadily, indicating sustained buying interest as SOL cements its position as a top industry player in terms of transaction speed, developer activity, and decentralized applications.
RSI: The daily RSI is at 76.82, in overbought territory, suggesting a potential consolidation or minor pullback. However, the strong trend could still push higher with momentum.
4-Hour Chart:
Structure: SOL has formed a series of higher lows, respecting the 4-hour 50 MA at 175 as support. This structure indicates healthy bullish momentum and demand.
Order Block (ICT Concept): There’s a bullish order block around the 186–189 range, where previous selling was absorbed by buyers. This level could serve as a solid entry zone on a pullback, aligning with the concept of institutional buying interest around key levels.
RSI and Volume: RSI on the 4-hour chart sits around 56.86, suggesting there’s still room for upward movement. Volume remains steady, confirming that buyers are still in control.
1-Hour Chart:
Price Action: SOL recently hit a local high at 205.35 and is now retracing slightly to around 198.04. This level aligns with the 1-hour 50 MA at 195.93, which could serve as immediate support.
Short-Term Setup: The 1-hour chart shows signs of consolidation, which could lead to a continuation if the price holds above the 50 MA. This level around 195–198 can be watched for a potential bounce.
Confluences and Entry Strategy:
Primary Entry Zone: For long entries, the 186–189 area is ideal, as it aligns with the 4-hour order block and provides a high-probability zone for institutional interest.
Stop Loss: Place a stop below 180 to allow some room for volatility but protect against a larger breakdown.
Targets:
First Target: Retest of 205 for a quick profit.
Extended Target: Using Fibonacci extensions, the 1.618 level projects around 225, providing an optimistic upside target if the bullish trend holds.
Mega Bullish Scenario:
If SOL continues to hold its ground above these support levels and broader market sentiment improves, the 2.618 Fibonacci extension points to a potential rally towards 260–270. Given Solana’s position as a leader in various blockchain metrics, these optimistic targets are achievable in a strong bullish cycle. Holding above 200 could serve as a psychological base for such a move.
In summary, SOL’s alignment with key moving averages, strong support at the order block, and bullish volume profile all support continued upside. Watch for consolidation around 195–198 before potential continuation, with fib extensions providing ambitious price targets if momentum sustains.