As of the latest data leading up to the 2024 U.S. presidential election, the race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is extremely close. Polls show Harris holding a slight lead in national averages, but the race ultimately depends on key swing states, where both candidates are running neck-and-neck. Neither candidate has a decisive lead in battleground states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, and Georgia, which could swing the election outcome based on voter turnout and late-breaking support shifts.

To win, a candidate must secure at least 270 electoral votes, and due to the close polling in swing states, the final result may not be immediately clear and could hinge on these states where the margin is very slim【6†source】【7†source】.

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