Prediction for ETH's Future Market Value:
In the next cycle (2026), ETH's market value may decline to one-tenth that of Bitcoin.
Currently, ETH's market value is 22% of BTC, implying a further potential drop by half relative to BTC.
ETH/BTC Exchange Rate Trap:
Betting on the reversal of the ETH/BTC exchange rate has been the biggest trap this cycle, impacting nearly everyone in the crypto space.
The writer acknowledges being a victim of this, citing personal losses and frustration with ETH.
Historical Comparison:
XRP and BCH were once the second-largest cryptocurrencies by market value.
Today, XRP has a market value of $30 billion (2% of BTC), and BCH has a market value of $7.1 billion (0.5% of BTC).
BTC's Resilience:
In bear markets, BTC tends to drop by 70% but consistently recovers.
In contrast, XRP and BCH have not broken their previous highs, even during the last bull market.
Outlook for ETH:
It is likely that ETH may not reach its previous all-time high of $4,800.
ETH could see a decline in market value across the board, potentially shrinking to one-tenth of BTC's value, or even lower.
