The US presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is essentially tied in national polling. However, the outcome will be determined by a handful of competitive swing states due to the Electoral College system. Some states, such as Arizona, have seen tight margins in recent elections and are expected to be key battlegrounds.

Arizona, with its 11 electoral votes, is particularly crucial. In 2020, Joe Biden narrowly won the state by fewer than 10,500 votes, marking the first time a Democrat had won Arizona since 1996. Harris faces a tough challenge to hold onto this win, but a Senate race and a ballot measure on abortion rights could boost Democratic turnout.

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