CPI index — 15:30 Kyiv time

Today, inflation data will be released, which is expected to be better than the previous figure of 2.5%. Forecast — 2.3%.

But, honestly, given last year's inflation in September, it seems to me that annual inflation will be lower than the forecast, which means even less than 2.3%

An interesting observation! Considering that the base effect of last year's high inflation can affect the reduction of current inflation, your expectations may be quite reasonable. Inflation data may indeed be lower than the forecasted 2.3%, especially if the factors that contributed to the rise in prices earlier have already exhausted their influence.

Market expectations usually include such aspects as energy prices, food, wages and production costs. If these factors have stabilized or decreased, this may lead to an even greater reduction in inflation than forecast.

When the data is released, we will see how realistic these assumptions are!