According to CoinDesk, regulatory clarity and upcoming technical changes have fueled significant growth in XRP-tracked futures, with open interest reaching unprecedented levels on Saturday as prices surged over 20% within 24 hours. As of Sunday, XRP and U.S. dollar-denominated open interest hit record highs, with over 2 billion tokens, valued at nearly $2 billion at current prices, in futures positions anticipating further market volatility.
Data on long and short positions reveals a slight bias towards short positions, with 51% of traders betting against further price increases. This bias, although theoretically expected to remain balanced at 50:50 due to the nature of trading, provides insight into trader sentiment over short-term periods, such as 24 hours. Open Interest (OI) refers to the total number of outstanding derivative contracts not yet settled for an asset. An increase in both OI and prices typically suggests new money entering the market, indicating a bullish trend. Conversely, if prices rise while OI falls, it may suggest the rally is driven by short covering rather than new buying, potentially signaling a weaker trend.
XRP prices soared above $1.20 during U.S. morning hours on Saturday, marking weekly gains of over 87% and setting a three-year high for the token. The gains began late Thursday following the filing of a lawsuit by 18 U.S. states against the SEC and its commissioners, including Chairman Gary Gensler, accusing them of unconstitutional overreach in the crypto industry. Speculative optimism among traders suggests that a crypto-friendly Trump administration could benefit tokens linked to U.S.-based companies, such as Ripple Labs, associated with XRP, and Uniswap (UNI), as these firms are more involved in enhancing value for token holders amid cleared regulatory headwinds.
Additionally, a significant fundamental development that may support future gains in XRP is the anticipated launch of the RLUSD stablecoin by Ripple Labs, a company closely tied to XRP issuance. Ripple plans to utilize RLUSD in its cross-border payments product, aiming to provide liquidity, facilitate faster and cheaper transactions, and potentially integrate with various decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols across multiple blockchains. Over the past 24 hours, XRP has outperformed a stagnant bitcoin (BTC) and a 2.7% gain in the broader crypto market, as tracked by the liquid CoinDesk 20 index (CD20).
