#牛市来临的前兆啊 #比特币减半 #btc Bull market conjecture
This bull market will be different from any previous bull market!
Dear brothers,
After more than a month of thinking and data review, a comprehensive macro perspective analysis.
Correcting the previous judgment, the bull market is still in the middle of the first stage of the bull market after the halving of the big cake. This bull market is a bit special.
The biggest variable is that digital currency has risen to another battlefield between the Eagle Sauce and the Rabbit Game. The most powerful consortiums of both sides have entered the market and started to compete for their own territory and market discourse power.
At present, the two sides are evenly matched, and in the end they will only tacitly harvest the world.
In the first stage, the first thing everyone will fight for is undoubtedly the big cake that occupies half of the market value of digital currency.
Since the big cake was pulled up to 70,000 in March, the consortiums such as Grayscale and BlackRock have been playing double acts. They are obviously in the same group, and their purpose is undoubtedly to deceive retail investors to throw away their bargaining chips.
The holdings of BlackRock and Fidelity's big consortiums are obviously not enough. Grayscale acts as a fulcrum, constantly shipping and changing dealers and inducing retail investors to throw away their bargaining chips.
According to this logic,
Bitcoin will still fluctuate violently in the next four months, and large rises and falls are the norm.
After halving, Bitcoin will only stabilize in the range of 64,500-65,000, with pressure positions of 66,500 and 67,500.
65,000 is the dividing line between strength and weakness. As long as it is effectively broken, Bitcoin will return to 69,300-7.1w, and some cottages will also rebound.
Then, Bitcoin will soon fall back to the range of 53,000-55,000-60,000 and oscillate upward, absorbing Bitcoin chips in this range. This decline is likely to be at the end of April, depending on whether it is a quick kill or a blunt cut. Then, within three months, the price of Bitcoin will rise again to a new high of 100,000 yuan, and then plummet 40% to around 60,000 yuan.
Before September, it will rise back to 100,000-140,000 yuan, and then end this bull market.
This is the first stage of the bull market, with three surges and plunges.
The dog dealer completed a large-scale fund-raising operation. This process is only a bull market for Bitcoin and some copycats, and most copycats still do not do much. After the dog dealer completed the fund-raising, it plummeted again by 50%, and Bitcoin returned to 70,000-80,000 yuan and traded sideways. The total market value of Bitcoin decreased, and
the big bull market will start