$BTC 12.23 Bitcoin Market Analysis
The first wave of the large-scale rise of Bitcoin has completed its five waves, and we are currently in an ABC three-wave downward structure, currently in the B wave rebound.
The B wave is forming a small abc or triangle structure, and the C wave is expected to decline to around 84.

#开单建议
Go long below 94, take profit above 98. Gradually open shorts above 98 to 100,000.

#比特币走势分析 #BTC走势预测

$ETH Dog Zhuang, look clearly,

The air force above is unprecedentedly large,

Urgently needs a wave to pull and clean up,

Recently, the air force has been too rampant, reckless!

Must go north all the way, to blow up the air force!

Master Bao's words burst the bubble,

Then Trump will let the bubble continue to expand!

Duo Jun will never surrender, victory always belongs to Duo Jun!

$BNB $SOL

#加密市场盘整 #市场调整後的机会？ #比特币市场波动观察 #比特币走势分析 #圣诞行情预测
The above content only represents personal views and does not constitute any investment advice!

After breaking a new high last week, the large pancake started a continuous decline, with a noticeable drop. From the current perspective, further increases in the large pancake will take time. From the daily chart, the K-line shows a continuous downward trend. Although there have been rebounds of varying degrees, the upward momentum is limited, and the continuity is not strong.

From the 4-hour chart, the large pancake is currently fluctuating downwards below the middle track, and BOLL shows an opening trend. It is expected that after a slight rebound in the morning, it will continue to decline. It is recommended to primarily look for short positions after a slight rebound during the day.

Large pancake: short around 95600, targeting 94200 and 92800

#BTC☀ #BTC走势预测 #比特币走势分析 #比特币行情

Overview of Key Events This Week (12.23-12.29)

This Wednesday is Christmas, and major exchanges in Europe and the United States will be closed. Crypto capital is also expected to experience outflows this week. Currently, ETFs are the main source of external funds for the crypto market, and the pressure from fund outflows on the crypto market has significantly increased compared to previous years, with a strong risk-averse sentiment in the market.

Key events this week:

12.23: Monday MicroStrategy is expected to join the Nasdaq 100 index

12.24: Tuesday, the Bank of Canada releases the minutes of the December monetary policy meeting (02:30); the Reserve Bank of Australia releases the minutes of the December monetary policy meeting (08:30)

12.26: Thursday, initial jobless claims in the United States for the week (21:30)

12.27: Friday, the Bank of Japan releases a summary of opinions from the members of the December monetary policy meeting (07:50)
#比特币市场波动观察 #比特币走势分析 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

2024.12.23 Day Market Analysis

There are no special macro news this week, refer to 80% technical trading. Currently, there is still a chance for a dip to touch the daily line golden line. On Monday, it will slowly rise a bit, the opportunity for bottom fishing is around early next month.
Weekly Analysis: There is still room for decline, bottom fishing points are 90500 for head position, 88800, 85500, 3000 for head position, 2830.
Strong Resistance: 3550, if it can't break 102000, there is a probability of a further drop.
Daily Analysis: From Monday to Wednesday, it will rise, oscillate and gradually move up. Today, we look for long positions first, enter long positions with multiple accounts, and the long positions are almost short-term profit-taking.

Resistance Levels: 97500, 98500, 3350, 3480.
Support Levels: 92500, 90500, 3150, 3100.

Ethereum Daily: If the 4-hour candle closes positively, there will be a rebound. In the live room, current price retracement of 30 points, enter at 3250, 3240 for adding positions, 3210, 3160 long positions, stop loss at the previous low 3100, conservative take profit at 3350, take profit at 3430, 3480.
(The big coin rises quickly, if Ethereum can't keep up, take profit conservatively.)

Big Coin Daily: In the live room, long positions near 94500, add positions at 93600, 92800, stop loss at 92000, conservative take profit at 97300, 97500, take profit at 98000, 98500 (there is risk, control position at 2%). (Long positions can only be short-term.)

Combining live streaming and technology, control positions, for reference only #比特币走势分析 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

#比特币走势分析 12.23 Black Brother's Share
The big pie is still led by bears, and yesterday's rebound did not form a continuation. Therefore, the rebound is still a correction in a phase of decline. At least currently, the market has not given any short-term bullish signals. After the crash from the upper range last week, the short-term bears naturally formed obvious pressure. Additionally, with the Christmas holiday approaching, some external factors have also contributed to the strong bearish sentiment in the market.
Just as Black Brother provided in the morning analysis, continue the short position operation. Black Brother has secured a medium to long-term position, gaining over 1100 units from the big pie and nearly 50 units from Auntie. Close to 9000 units have been safely pocketed! #加密市场盘整 #市场调整後的机会？ #比特币战略储备 #美联储放鹰

Many investment friends say, what is the use of technical analysis? As long as the teacher's calls are accurate, I just need to follow the teacher's trades, isn't it enough to make money? But I want to say, is this really the purpose of your investment? Just admiring flowers in a mirror, how can you smell their fragrance? A few years ago, I remember when I first grasped the true meaning of technical analysis. At that time, my conclusion was that technical analysis is analyzing other people's thoughts and using their ideas to profit. Later, I felt that technical analysis was studying the main forces to understand their thoughts. Eventually, I realized that whether it's the main force or everyone else, they are just fleeting clouds in the face of the market. Is analysis of the main force useful? Yes, is profiting from others' ideas useful? Yes, but truly explaining and deeply understanding this technical matter is about integrating everything, just like water droplets merging into water; going with the flow is the essence.

I often see some so-called analyses in the market, KDJ, MACD, looking at moving averages, going long above the moving average, going short below the moving average, which seem correct. Furthermore, looking at trends, going long above the 60-day moving average, going short below the 60-day moving average, short-term traders, selling high and buying low, looking at 15 minutes, shorting at resistance and going long at support. In the end, I find that I haven't learned anything, but rather often find it ambiguous and elusive. Most investors believe that losing money in the investment market is easy, while making money is difficult. In fact, it is not that making money is difficult, but that you have not reached the necessary elements to make money. First, you need solid skills; secondly, a good mentality; a strict risk control system; and a bit of luck (including position management and stop-loss settings). Whether it is a one-sided market or a volatile market, you must formulate corresponding operational strategies, just like marching into battle under a military flag, facing soldiers with soldiers, and blocking water with earth. This way, even if unexpected situations arise, you won't panic and can respond calmly.

The big pancake is still the same big pancake, but the account is no longer the same account. The rolling red dust and waves of heaven, can we escape a disaster, look at the market's creation #加密市场盘整 #市场调整後的机会？ #比特币市场波动观察 #比特币战略储备 #比特币走势分析 $BTC

$BTC 12.19 Evening Bitcoin Market Analysis

The white line indicates that the previous 5 waves have ended, and the 5-5 sub-waves concluded with a failed wave.

Subsequently, a medium-term three-wave decline follows along the yellow line, with a possibility of still being in the 4th wave before moving to the 5th wave upward.

The common point is that none have finished declining, suggesting a short position.

#比特币走势分析 #BTC走势预测

At 21:30 there will be unemployment benefits and GDP data, currently the PCE looks bearish, and I won't chase long positions anymore. The Ethereum trend line at 3720 has dropped, and Bitcoin has dropped at 102500, preparing to gradually look for short positions.
If the data tonight is favorable, I won't chase the rise either. #比特币走势分析 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

Now let's look at the Bitcoin market. It has risen to around 108,300 and then started to fall back to 98,800. First of all, from the daily line, after several days of continuous rise, it finally ushered in a fall. At present, the upper pressure is around 106,100, and the lower support is around 98,300. Looking at the 4-hour level, the overall decline is relatively strong, the upper pressure is given to 102,800, and the lower support is given to around 100,180. From the 1-hour level, the bottom signal has appeared at this time. At present, it has started to rebound from the bottom of the box. The lower support is given to 99,800, and the upper pressure is still given to around 102,800.
Let's look at Ethereum. When Bitcoin was at 101,000, Ethereum was more than 4,000. When Bitcoin was at 108,000, Ethereum was still at 4,000. Compared with Bitcoin, it is still relatively weak overall. Ethereum will continue to wash the market. When Ethereum rebounds, it will be the only one to rebound. If you encounter Ethereum rebounding alone, it means rebounding is coming. You can just chase it at that time.
Including some mainstream altcoins are being sucked by Bitcoin. Only when Ethereum starts to rebound can the altcoins continue to fly. Therefore, with the decline in the early morning today, Bitcoin did not fall much. The amplitude of Ethereum and altcoins is relatively large.
#比特币走势分析

#Bitcoin BTC [Super Topic]#
12.19 Black Brother's Afternoon Market Analysis:

The big coin fell to around 98700 after dropping to around 100970 in the morning, then rebounded to around 101300, currently at around 101200.

The altcoin fell to around 3540 after dropping to around 3663 in the morning, then rebounded to around 3670.

From the current four-hour structure, the big coin's growth shows a bullish divergence, is below the Bollinger Bands, and the KDJ is gradually moving upwards, with the box gradually reaching a peak and showing a decrease in volume. From the current one-hour structure, the big coin's bulls are reducing volume, the MACD is gradually forming a golden cross and moving upwards, and the KDJ is crossing upwards.

Black Brother's Suggestions:
Big coin pullback around 100200-95000
Looking towards 101800-103000
Altcoin pullback around 3610-3530
Looking towards 3700-3760
⚠️ The afternoon is biased towards range oscillation; profit can be made within the range. For specific operations, pay attention to Black Brother's guidance.
#加密市场回调 #圣诞行情预测 #加密用户突破1800万 #ETH再度冲击4K #比特币走势分析

PancakeSwap Ether Follow-up Trend Analysis:

$BTC $ETH

#比特币走势分析

Black brother shares
In the early morning, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision did not present any surprises
It met all market expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut, followed by Bitcoin continuing its decline
Key statements from Powell prompted significant declines in US stocks, gold, and Bitcoin
First: It signaled that there might only be two rate cuts next year, changing previous speculation of four cuts by 2025
Second: They want to maintain a neutral interest rate, believing that the US economy is strong and does not require continuous rate cuts to achieve inflation moderation, while achieving the 2% inflation target may take one to two more years, considering how tariffs may drive inflation (in line with new policies)
Third: A crucial point is the statement on Bitcoin reserve policy, which slightly differs from previous statements; the Federal Reserve does not allow and has no intention of holding Bitcoin, and strategic reserves are a matter for the Treasury to consider
More delightfully, Trump's son has experienced the feeling of being stuck in the crypto circle for the first time, which is quite cool, noble birth does not guarantee a unique experience
Additionally, some short positions I promoted during my live stream received positive feedback, making this late-night effort feel worthwhile
The trend of Bitcoin has clearly shown a corrective trend; with this large bearish candle, we need to consider whether Bitcoin will make a straight move or oscillate downwards
If it's the former, then going long at any point would be incorrect; if it's the latter, then the 98k-99k range is a good entry point, and 95-94k is also a decent entry point. Profiting from a rebound and then shorting would be more favorable for the market
Similarly, if it's the former, it would indicate that the market will lose many trading opportunities. I am concerned about the former while being fully aware of myself, choosing to short at highs and exit near perceived support will be my consistent strategy moving forward
To put it simply, I believe there will be rebounds at certain support levels, but I won't act on them. I will wait for the rebound to complete before shorting again, until the daily MACD moves below the zero axis and forms a golden cross, at which point I will start to go long on dips

BTC
100,756.75
-4.62%
#BTC再创新高 #圣诞行情预测 #加密用户突破1800万 #比特币走势分析

#
12.18 Black Brother's Evening Thoughts,

Short-term Trend: As of December 18, 2024, the price of Bitcoin is $108,300, an increase of 0.38% from the previous day. In the past 24 hours,

the highest price of Bitcoin has reached around $108,300, and the lowest price was around $103,300. From a short-term perspective, after experiencing significant fluctuations earlier, Bitcoin is currently in a relatively stable upward trend.

Black Brother suggests:
Bitcoin to retrace to around 103,000-103,500,
looking towards a correction to 105,800-107,000.

Ethereum to retrace to around 3,780-3,830,
looking towards a correction to around 3,950-4,000.

Note: Follow Black Brother, specific operations are subject to Black Brother's guidance! #BTC再创新高 #比特币冲向11万？ #加密用户突破1800万 #比特币走势分析

$BTC 12.19 Bitcoin Market Analysis
Bitcoin plummeted late at night, currently focusing on 98,000, and if it falls below, it will follow the blue route.
1. Yellow route: The 5th wave has a wedge structure, and there is another wave of upward surge to above 110,000.
2. Blue route: It is still consolidating in the 4th wave, and there will be a 5th wave of rise in the future.

#开单建议
Short above 110,000, or wait for more near 92. Wait and see in the middle.

#比特币走势分析 #比特币暴跌

2024.12.19 Daytime Market Analysis

Currently, there is still a downward demand in the short term, waiting for a real positive release or for Trump to take office, then Bitcoin will start to rise slowly.
Spot: Regarding expectations, the interest rate cut expectation is slowing down. Previously reminded to take out the principal first, and then add positions when it returns.
On the day: Currently slowly recovering, constantly making spikes to create divergences, do not chase short positions, take a break on long positions, short at a slightly higher rebound.

Resistance Levels: 3730, 3810, 103000, 100600
Support Levels: 3520, 3450, 96800, 94500

Ethereum on the day: 3520, 3500 support for long positions, 15-minute divergence stop loss, take profit at 3720, 3750 (long positions do not have a pattern, exit with profit).

Bitcoin on the day: Daily line touches top signal, short-term rise then drop, short at 100600, 101000, or short at a rebound of $1500, take profit at 97500, 95200, 94500.
Every support level for long positions can have a signal to enter, rebound strength is not strong--

Combining live broadcast and technology, control the position, for reference only #比特币走势分析 #合约挑战 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥

2024.12.18 Day Market Analysis

Tonight's interest rates currently look favorable (whether it is stopping the rate cuts or keeping it unchanged both count as favorable, with a focus on the speech). The larger trend has shown multiple divergences.
Today: Bitcoin shows signs of a final rally, it's not a good time to chase highs. If you have a long position, exit on the rise. After exiting, avoid entering long positions too quickly, wait for the last long entry, and then look for divergence on a downward breakout to re-enter. Today, keep positions light.

Resistance levels: 108000, 3950, 4050
Support levels: 104000, 103000, 3800, 3750

Ethereum today: 3820, 3810 for initial long positions, 3760, 3780 for adding positions, stop loss at 3760, take profit at 3980, 3960 (must exit on the rise of long positions).

Bitcoin today: 104800, 104300 for longs, focus on 105000 for long positions, stop loss at 104000, take profit at 107500, 108000 (make the last long entry, if it drops back, do not consider re-entering, today keep positions at 2% light). Defend against changes by pulling up and then consolidating, short on the rise with actions to wash out long positions, support at 100000--3560.

Combining live broadcasts and technical analysis, control positions, for reference only #比特币冲向11万？ #比特币走势分析 #BTC☀ #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥