日本加息
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[The unemployment rate plummeted and Japan raised interest rates. Is the plunge in risky assets a coincidence or a necessity? 】
The latest US employment report last Friday was far-reaching, with only 110,000 new jobs and the unemployment rate rising from 4.1% to 4.3%. Although the labor force participation rate and GDP growth remain strong, and the US credit system crisis has not actually occurred, the global financial market has taken the lead in betting that the US economy is on the verge of deterioration. At the same time, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 15BP last Wednesday, exceeding expectations, and the yen quickly rose above 142. So we see that after digesting the news of unemployment and Japan's interest rate hike over the weekend, the capital flight of the entire risk asset has entered a climax stage. On August 5, the global financial market set off a storm. Bitcoin fell below $50,000, the Korean GEM circuit breaker, the Taiwan Index recorded the largest single-day drop, the Nasdaq Technology ETF hit the limit, and the Indian and Australian stock markets were not spared. The decline continued, and funds poured into the bond market for risk aversion. The Japanese market is particularly typical. The Nikkei 225 Index and Japanese government bond futures both circuit-breakers in the early trading, and the 10-year Japanese bond yield fell to 0.785%. The Nikkei Index has given up all its gains in 2024 in the past three weeks.
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$BTC
Japan raises interest rates❓
Indiscriminate plunge📉
Global tycoon Buffett has also done it❓
July 31
The Bank of Japan raises interest rates by 15 basis points
The USD/JPY short-term fell 110 points, now at 151.81
Japan raises interest rates, warning of global financial storm! The era of cheap milk arbitrage ends, and the market panic plunges❗️❗️❗️
Why does Japan's 🇯🇵 interest rate hike have such a big impact on the global financial market?
Because the interest rate of the Bank of Japan was negative in the past few years, it is equivalent to giving you subsidies when you go to the bank to borrow money.
Take milk as an example. In Japan, due to the extremely low borrowing interest rate, even negative, you can borrow cheap milk from Japan at a very low cost. You can use these cheap milk to sell to the United States, Europe and other countries with higher interest rates, get a higher price difference for milk, and make a profit from arbitrage transactions.
This is the reason why we have recently experienced violent fluctuations in global financial and stock markets❓
🌤In the early years, many financial speculators borrowed yen: speculators and low interest rates borrowed yen.
⛅️Then they exchanged yen for US dollars or euros.
🌥Then invest in the United States or Europe: they use these US dollars to invest in assets such as US bonds or US stocks, because the interest rates there are higher, so they can make more profits.
Indeed, the US stock market has gone crazy in the past two years, especially chip stocks.
☀️Difference profit: The profit comes from the difference between the low interest rate paid for borrowing yen and the higher returns obtained by investing in the United States or Europe.
🧐So imagine that when this kind of arbitrage transaction reaches hundreds of billions or trillions of dollars globally, the energy will be amazing. After all, Buffett is also doing this, although he issued yen bonds to invest in Japanese stocks.
When Japanese interest rates suddenly change and this trend is significantly strengthened in the future, this is a panic expectation gap, which will trigger a wave of risks.
Because the demand for yen lent by the Bank of Japan will decrease, and the Bank of Japan also wants to get their milk back as soon as possible.
This is why the global financial market has recently experienced an indiscriminate panic and plunge
#美国7月非农就业增长放缓
#美联储何时降息？
#美国政府转移BTC
#超级央行周
#日本加息
Japan raises interest rates❓
Indiscriminate plunge📉
Global tycoon Buffett has also done it❓
July 31
The Bank of Japan raises interest rates by 15 basis points
The USD/JPY short-term fell 110 points, now at 151.81
Japan raises interest rates, warning of global financial storm! The era of cheap milk arbitrage ends, and the market panic plunges❗️❗️❗️
Why does Japan's 🇯🇵 interest rate hike have such a big impact on the global financial market?
Because the interest rate of the Bank of Japan was negative in the past few years, it is equivalent to giving you subsidies when you go to the bank to borrow money.
Take milk as an example. In Japan, due to the extremely low borrowing interest rate, even negative, you can borrow cheap milk from Japan at a very low cost. You can use these cheap milk to sell to the United States, Europe and other countries with higher interest rates, get a higher price difference for milk, and make a profit from arbitrage transactions.
This is the reason why we have recently experienced violent fluctuations in global financial and stock markets❓
🌤In the early years, many financial speculators borrowed yen: speculators and low interest rates borrowed yen.
⛅️Then they exchanged yen for US dollars or euros.
🌥Then invest in the United States or Europe: they use these US dollars to invest in assets such as US bonds or US stocks, because the interest rates there are higher, so they can make more profits.
Indeed, the US stock market has gone crazy in the past two years, especially chip stocks.
☀️Difference profit: The profit comes from the difference between the low interest rate paid for borrowing yen and the higher returns obtained by investing in the United States or Europe.
🧐So imagine that when this kind of arbitrage transaction reaches hundreds of billions or trillions of dollars globally, the energy will be amazing. After all, Buffett is also doing this, although he issued yen bonds to invest in Japanese stocks.
When Japanese interest rates suddenly change and this trend is significantly strengthened in the future, this is a panic expectation gap, which will trigger a wave of risks.
Because the demand for yen lent by the Bank of Japan will decrease, and the Bank of Japan also wants to get their milk back as soon as possible.
This is why the global financial market has recently experienced an indiscriminate panic and plunge
#美国7月非农就业增长放缓
#美联储何时降息？
#美国政府转移BTC
#超级央行周
#日本加息
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Coinlist appears to be dumping $ONDO
An address belonging to Coinlist is depositing large amounts of $ONDO to the centralized exchange. On 08/01, nearly $5.2 million in $ONDO was deposited.
In addition, according to Scopechat data, a large amount of $ONDO was transferred to centralized exchanges from 08/01 to 08/06.
Usually if the project party wants to accumulate tokens, it will transfer the tokens from the exchange to the wallet on the chain, and if it wants to sell the tokens, it will transfer the tokens to the centralized exchange.
(Because the liquidity of centralized exchanges is usually better)
Coupled with the recent overall weakening trend in the overall economy, it is very likely that it is all selling.
However, $ONDO is the leader in the RWA sector, and its fundamentals are very strong. Perhaps we can observe whether there are addresses that start to accumulate tokens on the chain after the market stabilizes.
Or gradually accumulate in the form of regular quotas, which is also a relatively conservative approach.
(Actually, from the picture above, you can find that on 08/05, someone had already started to accumulate a small amount of $ONDO)
#RWA赛道 #美联储何时降息？ #日本加息
An address belonging to Coinlist is depositing large amounts of $ONDO to the centralized exchange. On 08/01, nearly $5.2 million in $ONDO was deposited.
In addition, according to Scopechat data, a large amount of $ONDO was transferred to centralized exchanges from 08/01 to 08/06.
Usually if the project party wants to accumulate tokens, it will transfer the tokens from the exchange to the wallet on the chain, and if it wants to sell the tokens, it will transfer the tokens to the centralized exchange.
(Because the liquidity of centralized exchanges is usually better)
Coupled with the recent overall weakening trend in the overall economy, it is very likely that it is all selling.
However, $ONDO is the leader in the RWA sector, and its fundamentals are very strong. Perhaps we can observe whether there are addresses that start to accumulate tokens on the chain after the market stabilizes.
Or gradually accumulate in the form of regular quotas, which is also a relatively conservative approach.
(Actually, from the picture above, you can find that on 08/05, someone had already started to accumulate a small amount of $ONDO)
#RWA赛道 #美联储何时降息？ #日本加息
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The market is currently trading on the positive news of the Fed's 50 basis point rate cut. This wave of daily level is also V-ed up. I originally thought that Japan might raise interest rates to cooperate with the Fed's backstab, but it was cancelled today by irresistible factors. We don't know if there is any inside information, but since the market has already traded this fact and the Fed's rate cut is also a long-term positive, there is no need for us to speculate whether the US economy is in recession. From the market point of view, it is still in the downward channel of the bull flag. Will it continue to fluctuate or break through directly? Only when it comes out can a long section of unilateral market appear. The short-term key point is 65000-65500. For spot, brothers who don't have a bottom position should consider buying some high-quality altcoin spot after the callback. Whether the follow-up is oscillation, callback, or direct breakthrough, holding one hand and building positions in batches is always lower than chasing. Many altcoins have broken through the short-term falling structure. Under the favorable conditions of BTC, the market generally believes that there may be a altcoin season in September and October. Keep an eye on it. #美联储主席鲍威尔讲话 #日本加息
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A few words about this decline:
1. If every halving requires a black swan, then Japan’s interest rate hike is definitely the trigger for this round of black swans. We should also pay close attention to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in the early morning of the 21st. Powell's speech is best if it is indifferent, but if it is slightly negative, it may continue to trigger a chain reaction!
2. The decline of Bitcoin and Ethereum may not have bottomed out yet! The support level of the pie is 59000, 55000, 53000.
3. The spring of altcoins has not yet arrived. The main reason is still the problem of insufficient capital liquidity. In the past year, altcoins could only survive from the overflow funds from Bitcoin’s short-lived rise, and the average price of altcoins was less than 20% of the previous high.
4. With the expectations of halving and interest rate cuts, it can still be judged that Bitcoin is still in the bull market stage based on the current trend. The intensity of this decline determines the height of the entire bull market's rise.
5. In this adjustment, almost all long contracts will be wiped out, and the assets of spot holders will also withdraw significantly. Clearing long positions and profit taking is an important purpose of this adjustment.
6. Adhere to the idea of spot and long-term currency holding, and buy big when there is a big drop, especially looking for the best buying point in the panic market of flash crash. Making the greediest decisions at the most panicked moment is a surefire way to win in the bull market.
★Pay attention to new strategies and don’t get lost in investing!
#热门话题 #BTC #ETH #日本加息 #黑天鹅 $BTC
1. If every halving requires a black swan, then Japan’s interest rate hike is definitely the trigger for this round of black swans. We should also pay close attention to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in the early morning of the 21st. Powell's speech is best if it is indifferent, but if it is slightly negative, it may continue to trigger a chain reaction!
2. The decline of Bitcoin and Ethereum may not have bottomed out yet! The support level of the pie is 59000, 55000, 53000.
3. The spring of altcoins has not yet arrived. The main reason is still the problem of insufficient capital liquidity. In the past year, altcoins could only survive from the overflow funds from Bitcoin’s short-lived rise, and the average price of altcoins was less than 20% of the previous high.
4. With the expectations of halving and interest rate cuts, it can still be judged that Bitcoin is still in the bull market stage based on the current trend. The intensity of this decline determines the height of the entire bull market's rise.
5. In this adjustment, almost all long contracts will be wiped out, and the assets of spot holders will also withdraw significantly. Clearing long positions and profit taking is an important purpose of this adjustment.
6. Adhere to the idea of spot and long-term currency holding, and buy big when there is a big drop, especially looking for the best buying point in the panic market of flash crash. Making the greediest decisions at the most panicked moment is a surefire way to win in the bull market.
★Pay attention to new strategies and don’t get lost in investing!
#热门话题 #BTC #ETH #日本加息 #黑天鹅 $BTC
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The impact of the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike on Bitcoin or any cryptocurrency can be mainly considered from the following aspects: (mainly depends on the mood of Gouzhuang)
Investor Sentiment: Central bank interest rate hikes are often seen as a measure to combat inflation, meaning the purchasing power of the currency is likely to increase. In this case, investors may move funds from riskier assets, such as Bitcoin, to investments with lower risk or more stable returns, such as bonds or deposits. This could cause the price of Bitcoin to fall.
Currency Value: Raising interest rates will cause the yen to appreciate, which may affect the price at which Bitcoin trades against the yen. If the yen appreciates, the cost of buying Bitcoin with yen will rise, potentially reducing demand for Bitcoin from Japanese investors.
Global market impact: Although the Bank of Japan's policies directly affect the Japanese yen, in the globalized financial market, currencies and asset prices of various countries affect each other. The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike may trigger other central banks to follow suit, or may affect global investors' views on risky assets, thereby affecting the global market price of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin.
Economic growth expectations: Interest rate hikes are usually carried out in the context of good economic growth and rising inflationary pressure. If the market interprets that the economy is in a growth phase, this could increase demand for various assets, including Bitcoin, as investors seek higher returns.
Interest rates and returns: Rising interest rates means that the returns on traditional financial products such as time deposits and bonds increase, which may attract funds originally invested in high-risk assets such as Bitcoin to flow into more stable investment channels.
The impact of the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike on Bitcoin is complex and changeable, and requires comprehensive consideration of factors such as the global economic environment, market sentiment, and investor behavior. In addition, as an emerging non-traditional asset, Bitcoin’s price fluctuations are affected by more extensive and complex factors.
The above official general answer does not serve as a main reference. The core points are the following:
The market sentiment driven by the purchasing power of the yen, fund transfers, liquidity withdrawal, risk aversion, and interest rate hike percentages means that how the market interprets it is very important!
While inflation in the United States is currently stable, Xiaori's inflation is rising, which does not seem very rational. The current interest rate in Xiaori is -0.1. If the interest rate does not become positive, that is, +0.1, I think it will not cause over-interpretation by the market. There are too many macro-influencing factors, as well as the rhetoric of the Bank of Japan’s factions. Who has the greater proportion of doves and hawks is also a major concern. , anyway, you can pay attention to cyclical and long-term things. If you do small-cycle and short-term things, I personally think it’s enough to reduce the risk of the position. Don’t worry too much. #日本加息
Investor Sentiment: Central bank interest rate hikes are often seen as a measure to combat inflation, meaning the purchasing power of the currency is likely to increase. In this case, investors may move funds from riskier assets, such as Bitcoin, to investments with lower risk or more stable returns, such as bonds or deposits. This could cause the price of Bitcoin to fall.
Currency Value: Raising interest rates will cause the yen to appreciate, which may affect the price at which Bitcoin trades against the yen. If the yen appreciates, the cost of buying Bitcoin with yen will rise, potentially reducing demand for Bitcoin from Japanese investors.
Global market impact: Although the Bank of Japan's policies directly affect the Japanese yen, in the globalized financial market, currencies and asset prices of various countries affect each other. The Bank of Japan's interest rate hike may trigger other central banks to follow suit, or may affect global investors' views on risky assets, thereby affecting the global market price of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin.
Economic growth expectations: Interest rate hikes are usually carried out in the context of good economic growth and rising inflationary pressure. If the market interprets that the economy is in a growth phase, this could increase demand for various assets, including Bitcoin, as investors seek higher returns.
Interest rates and returns: Rising interest rates means that the returns on traditional financial products such as time deposits and bonds increase, which may attract funds originally invested in high-risk assets such as Bitcoin to flow into more stable investment channels.
The impact of the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike on Bitcoin is complex and changeable, and requires comprehensive consideration of factors such as the global economic environment, market sentiment, and investor behavior. In addition, as an emerging non-traditional asset, Bitcoin’s price fluctuations are affected by more extensive and complex factors.
The above official general answer does not serve as a main reference. The core points are the following:
The market sentiment driven by the purchasing power of the yen, fund transfers, liquidity withdrawal, risk aversion, and interest rate hike percentages means that how the market interprets it is very important!
While inflation in the United States is currently stable, Xiaori's inflation is rising, which does not seem very rational. The current interest rate in Xiaori is -0.1. If the interest rate does not become positive, that is, +0.1, I think it will not cause over-interpretation by the market. There are too many macro-influencing factors, as well as the rhetoric of the Bank of Japan’s factions. Who has the greater proportion of doves and hawks is also a major concern. , anyway, you can pay attention to cyclical and long-term things. If you do small-cycle and short-term things, I personally think it’s enough to reduce the risk of the position. Don’t worry too much. #日本加息
绣虎
--
Tell me, how much is appropriate? #日本加息
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[Bad news: The Bank of Japan raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years, ending the eight-year era of negative interest rates. After the bad news materialized, ★Bitcoin and Ethereum entered an adjustment cycle]
On March 19, the official website of the Bank of Japan released the interest rate resolution of the March interest rate meeting. In terms of market operation guidance, the Bank of Japan will support the unsecured overnight lending rate to remain within the range of 0% to 0.1%, in line with market expectations. In order to achieve this interest rate guidance, the Bank of Japan increased the interest rate on excess reserve deposits of commercial banks with the Bank of Japan from the previous -0.1% to 0.1% (excluding statutory reserves). The new interest rate will take effect on March 21. This is the first time the Bank of Japan has raised interest rates since 2007, and the eight-year era of negative interest rates has officially come to an end.
At the same time, the Bank of Japan will continue to purchase Japanese government bonds at roughly the same scale as before. If long-term interest rates rise rapidly, the Bank of Japan will respond flexibly, such as increasing the number of purchases of Japanese government bonds and conducting fixed-rate purchases of Japanese government bonds.
On January 29, 2016, the Bank of Japan announced new easing measures and decided to reduce the interest rate on excess reserve deposits of commercial banks with the Bank of Japan from the previous 0.1% to -0.1% starting from February 16, 2016. Japan Since then, we have entered the era of “negative interest rates”.
#热门话题 #日本加息 #BTC #ETH #sol
On March 19, the official website of the Bank of Japan released the interest rate resolution of the March interest rate meeting. In terms of market operation guidance, the Bank of Japan will support the unsecured overnight lending rate to remain within the range of 0% to 0.1%, in line with market expectations. In order to achieve this interest rate guidance, the Bank of Japan increased the interest rate on excess reserve deposits of commercial banks with the Bank of Japan from the previous -0.1% to 0.1% (excluding statutory reserves). The new interest rate will take effect on March 21. This is the first time the Bank of Japan has raised interest rates since 2007, and the eight-year era of negative interest rates has officially come to an end.
At the same time, the Bank of Japan will continue to purchase Japanese government bonds at roughly the same scale as before. If long-term interest rates rise rapidly, the Bank of Japan will respond flexibly, such as increasing the number of purchases of Japanese government bonds and conducting fixed-rate purchases of Japanese government bonds.
On January 29, 2016, the Bank of Japan announced new easing measures and decided to reduce the interest rate on excess reserve deposits of commercial banks with the Bank of Japan from the previous 0.1% to -0.1% starting from February 16, 2016. Japan Since then, we have entered the era of “negative interest rates”.
#热门话题 #日本加息 #BTC #ETH #sol
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March 20 (31 days countdown to halving) New strategy "Morning News" to understand the currency circle in 60 seconds every day
1. After Japan announced an interest rate hike, Bitcoin fell to $61,555 and Ethereum fell to $3,150.
2. MicroStrategy’s US micro strategy added approximately 9,245 Bitcoins, with an average price of US$67,382.
3. RWA project MANTRA completed US$11 million in financing, led by Shorooq Partners
4. Web3 entertainment platform ZKasino completed Series A financing at a valuation of US$350 million, with participation from MEXC and others
5. Ethereum rebounds above $3,300
6. Genesis agrees to pay $21 million in fine to settle with SEC
7. Puffer Finance reaches cooperation with Layer 3 network zkLink Nova
8. The Arena will launch ARENA tokens and start airdrops
9. Grayscale transfers 800 BTC to Coinbase Prime
10. The U.S. blockchain sector generally fell, with MicroStrategy falling more than 11%
11. Uniswap report: Most transactions in the protocol before Dencun upgrade were conducted on Layer 2
12. Solana Lianchuang calls for stopping the pre-sale transfer issuance model
13. Uplink Finance, the Bitcoin ecological stablecoin protocol, will support all Merlin Chain M-Token assets
14. Bitcoin native liquidity and stablecoin DeFi protocol Yala announces cooperation with Avail
15. Stellar launches smart contract platform Soroban and launches US$100 million ecological incentive plan
16. Hedging protocol Umoja completed a US$4 million seed round of financing, with participation from Coinbase and others.
17. SynFutures’ trading volume exceeded US$3 billion within two weeks of its launch
18. MicroStrategy completes issuance of US$603.75 million convertible notes
19. Dune integrates Polkadot ecological data
20. Coinbase has listed Akash Network (AKT)
Follow the new strategy #每天60秒读懂币圈 $BTC #热门话题 #减半 #日本加息
1. After Japan announced an interest rate hike, Bitcoin fell to $61,555 and Ethereum fell to $3,150.
2. MicroStrategy’s US micro strategy added approximately 9,245 Bitcoins, with an average price of US$67,382.
3. RWA project MANTRA completed US$11 million in financing, led by Shorooq Partners
4. Web3 entertainment platform ZKasino completed Series A financing at a valuation of US$350 million, with participation from MEXC and others
5. Ethereum rebounds above $3,300
6. Genesis agrees to pay $21 million in fine to settle with SEC
7. Puffer Finance reaches cooperation with Layer 3 network zkLink Nova
8. The Arena will launch ARENA tokens and start airdrops
9. Grayscale transfers 800 BTC to Coinbase Prime
10. The U.S. blockchain sector generally fell, with MicroStrategy falling more than 11%
11. Uniswap report: Most transactions in the protocol before Dencun upgrade were conducted on Layer 2
12. Solana Lianchuang calls for stopping the pre-sale transfer issuance model
13. Uplink Finance, the Bitcoin ecological stablecoin protocol, will support all Merlin Chain M-Token assets
14. Bitcoin native liquidity and stablecoin DeFi protocol Yala announces cooperation with Avail
15. Stellar launches smart contract platform Soroban and launches US$100 million ecological incentive plan
16. Hedging protocol Umoja completed a US$4 million seed round of financing, with participation from Coinbase and others.
17. SynFutures’ trading volume exceeded US$3 billion within two weeks of its launch
18. MicroStrategy completes issuance of US$603.75 million convertible notes
19. Dune integrates Polkadot ecological data
20. Coinbase has listed Akash Network (AKT)
Follow the new strategy #每天60秒读懂币圈 $BTC #热门话题 #减半 #日本加息
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Japan may raise interest rates again in December!
On August 23, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications of Japan released the inflation data for July. The data showed that Japan's CPI was 108.3 in July, up 2.7% year-on-year, 0.1 percentage point higher than the 2.6% in the previous month, and expanded for three consecutive months.
Analysts at Meiji Yasuda Research Institute expect that the Bank of Japan will continue to implement monetary normalization policies and raise interest rates again in December.
If Japan raises interest rates again, the closing of yen carry trades will come back, and at that time, it will once again impact the global financial market, including the crypto market!
#日本加息 #BTC☀ #内容挖矿
On August 23, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications of Japan released the inflation data for July. The data showed that Japan's CPI was 108.3 in July, up 2.7% year-on-year, 0.1 percentage point higher than the 2.6% in the previous month, and expanded for three consecutive months.
Analysts at Meiji Yasuda Research Institute expect that the Bank of Japan will continue to implement monetary normalization policies and raise interest rates again in December.
If Japan raises interest rates again, the closing of yen carry trades will come back, and at that time, it will once again impact the global financial market, including the crypto market!
#日本加息 #BTC☀ #内容挖矿
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The Japanese Liberal Democratic Party's Prime Minister election results are out, bringing down the cryptocurrency market
Today, Japan's new Liberal Democratic Party Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba was successfully elected in the party leader competition. He will replace Fumiaki Kishio as Japan's new Prime Minister on October 1.
Originally, the results of Japan's interest rate hikes and rate cuts would not be known until the normal announcement date. However, Shigeru Ishiba is a loyal supporter of interest rate hikes. He just became the party leader today and frightened the Japanese stock market. The Nikkei 225 index was once circuit-breaker, with the highest decline reaching 5.6%.
This fire can probably only be suppressed by his American father. There is no good result in going against the American father. It is impossible to get rid of the control of the American father and end the fate of being sucked blood under such a Japanese system.
#日本加息 #美国比特币现货ETF累计净流入创新高
Today, Japan's new Liberal Democratic Party Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba was successfully elected in the party leader competition. He will replace Fumiaki Kishio as Japan's new Prime Minister on October 1.
Originally, the results of Japan's interest rate hikes and rate cuts would not be known until the normal announcement date. However, Shigeru Ishiba is a loyal supporter of interest rate hikes. He just became the party leader today and frightened the Japanese stock market. The Nikkei 225 index was once circuit-breaker, with the highest decline reaching 5.6%.
This fire can probably only be suppressed by his American father. There is no good result in going against the American father. It is impossible to get rid of the control of the American father and end the fate of being sucked blood under such a Japanese system.
#日本加息 #美国比特币现货ETF累计净流入创新高
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Between 7 AM and 8 AM today, $BTC
The bullish main force formed a continuous upward surge, ultimately breaking through the 70,000 mark, with a relative high point at 71,607. It was suppressed by resistance at 71,300, closing down, and is currently stabilizing around 70,887!
My viewpoint hasn’t changed; I still don’t see bullish this week! My conclusion is definitely bearish! The upward breakthrough of 70,000 is a process, and the extension of the bullish top-touching sentiment has made Bitcoin perform relatively strongly! At the same time, it has driven the head mountain imitation ETH and SOL to also break new highs!
My previous deduction process has been achieved, and the next step is to continue pulling up to 75,000? 80,000?
I feel it’s not yet time to go up directly; my personal viewpoint remains. A surge like this without a pullback of 1,000 price points makes me even more worried! This further drives my flash crash sentiment!
I don’t know what everyone thinks? Perhaps many retail investors are already starting to FOMO, wondering why they didn’t buy during the 68,000-69,000 range? Right?
I think that’s unnecessary. I firmly believe that there will be a deep pullback, and I maintain this viewpoint. I will patiently wait for the big show on the 31st!
Currently
Upper resistance 71,300
Lower support 70,000
The bottom is indeed rising, but the forces at play are mutual; the faster I pull up, the quicker it may drop! As the saying goes: A week of hard effort to rise, it only takes 10 seconds to fall!
Please, good brothers, don't FOMO. If you have cash, hold on tight! If you’re empty-handed with no orders, don’t rush; wait for an opportunity! Good brothers holding long contracts can hold on a bit longer. You can set profit stop-loss at 70,300-70,500. For those holding short positions, it’s not recommended to hold; stop-loss if needed, unless you are very strong and BTC rises to 1 million USD before you get liquidated, don't take my words lightly! Because even though I generally see bearish this week, we can’t accurately predict when the downturn will specifically come!
Follow Chen Ge to not get lost, like and comment to increase wealth!
#大饼涨这样 #BTC突破7万大关 #日本加息 #美国大选 #你问我答
The bullish main force formed a continuous upward surge, ultimately breaking through the 70,000 mark, with a relative high point at 71,607. It was suppressed by resistance at 71,300, closing down, and is currently stabilizing around 70,887!
My viewpoint hasn’t changed; I still don’t see bullish this week! My conclusion is definitely bearish! The upward breakthrough of 70,000 is a process, and the extension of the bullish top-touching sentiment has made Bitcoin perform relatively strongly! At the same time, it has driven the head mountain imitation ETH and SOL to also break new highs!
My previous deduction process has been achieved, and the next step is to continue pulling up to 75,000? 80,000?
I feel it’s not yet time to go up directly; my personal viewpoint remains. A surge like this without a pullback of 1,000 price points makes me even more worried! This further drives my flash crash sentiment!
I don’t know what everyone thinks? Perhaps many retail investors are already starting to FOMO, wondering why they didn’t buy during the 68,000-69,000 range? Right?
I think that’s unnecessary. I firmly believe that there will be a deep pullback, and I maintain this viewpoint. I will patiently wait for the big show on the 31st!
Currently
Upper resistance 71,300
Lower support 70,000
The bottom is indeed rising, but the forces at play are mutual; the faster I pull up, the quicker it may drop! As the saying goes: A week of hard effort to rise, it only takes 10 seconds to fall!
Please, good brothers, don't FOMO. If you have cash, hold on tight! If you’re empty-handed with no orders, don’t rush; wait for an opportunity! Good brothers holding long contracts can hold on a bit longer. You can set profit stop-loss at 70,300-70,500. For those holding short positions, it’s not recommended to hold; stop-loss if needed, unless you are very strong and BTC rises to 1 million USD before you get liquidated, don't take my words lightly! Because even though I generally see bearish this week, we can’t accurately predict when the downturn will specifically come!
Follow Chen Ge to not get lost, like and comment to increase wealth!
#大饼涨这样 #BTC突破7万大关 #日本加息 #美国大选 #你问我答
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My scalp is numb from the fall
Today's achievement ranks among the best in the history of the entire capital market.
As soon as the market opened in the morning, news came that the Japanese stock market had a circuit breaker. However, their circuit breaker is different from ours in early 2016. It is not that all stocks are suspended from trading, but the circuit breaker is mainly for futures and options derivatives. Therefore, you can see that the intraday trend of the Nikkei 225 Index did not show the horizontal line that is unique to circuit breakers.
It was very spectacular, a drop of 12.4% in one day. Their circuit breaker thresholds are -8%, -12%, and -20%, so it was fortunately triggered twice today.
There are several possible reasons for Japan's plunge, but I'm not sure which one is the main reason:
As soon as the market opened in the morning, news came that the Japanese stock market had a circuit breaker. However, their circuit breaker is different from ours in early 2016. It is not that all stocks are suspended from trading, but the circuit breaker is mainly for futures and options derivatives. Therefore, you can see that the intraday trend of the Nikkei 225 Index did not show the horizontal line that is unique to circuit breakers.
It was very spectacular, a drop of 12.4% in one day. Their circuit breaker thresholds are -8%, -12%, and -20%, so it was fortunately triggered twice today.
There are several possible reasons for Japan's plunge, but I'm not sure which one is the main reason:
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🇯🇵The impact of the financial actions of Japanese Mrs. Watanabe on the global market: Why the yen exchange rate caused a capital crash❓ (Part 2)
(Due to the length of the video, it is published in 3 parts)
Bitcoin and the US dollar collapsed across the board📉, and many global financial markets ushered in Black Monday (2024.8.5).
The Japanese government's $20 trillion arbitrage transaction finally exploded! 💥
☹The sharp fluctuations in the market this time are likely to be caused by Japan's butterfly effect.
🧐This educational film will interpret this incident in detail to help you understand the financial logic and global impact behind it.
Don't miss it❗❗❗, after watching it, you will have a deeper insight into this complex phenomenon.
❤Translation is not easy, like + follow + forward, is our greatest support.
#日本加息 #Bitcoin❗ #日元汇率 #暴跌原因
(Due to the length of the video, it is published in 3 parts)
Bitcoin and the US dollar collapsed across the board📉, and many global financial markets ushered in Black Monday (2024.8.5).
The Japanese government's $20 trillion arbitrage transaction finally exploded! 💥
☹The sharp fluctuations in the market this time are likely to be caused by Japan's butterfly effect.
🧐This educational film will interpret this incident in detail to help you understand the financial logic and global impact behind it.
Don't miss it❗❗❗, after watching it, you will have a deeper insight into this complex phenomenon.
❤Translation is not easy, like + follow + forward, is our greatest support.
#日本加息 #Bitcoin❗ #日元汇率 #暴跌原因
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Just announced, no interest rate hike!!!
Just now, the Bank of Japan announced a big news: they decided not to raise interest rates, and keep the current interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. This decision is the same as everyone guessed before.
Why did the Bank of Japan do this? They think that Japan's economy is slowly getting better, but it is not time to raise interest rates yet. Moreover, the recent fluctuations in the exchange rate of the yen have reduced the pressure of price increases, so they think they can wait a little longer.
Kazuo Ueda, the boss of the Bank of Japan, also said that if Japan's economy and prices develop as they expect, they will continue to raise interest rates. But now, they think there is still time to take it slow.
Prices in Japan have risen very fast recently, and have accelerated for four consecutive months, which is higher than the 2% target set by the Bank of Japan. But Kazuo Ueda said that they think this rising trend can be controlled.
The market reaction is also very interesting. As soon as the Bank of Japan's decision came out, the exchange rate of the yen against the US dollar rose, but after Kazuo Ueda spoke, the yen fell a little again. The Japanese stock market rose quite happily at first, but then the increase narrowed.
Some experts predict that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates again later this year or early next year. But it is hard to say, it depends on the situation of the economy and financial markets.
In general, the Bank of Japan is taking a step-by-step approach now. They want to ensure that the economy is stable and prices are under control before deciding what to do next.
#日本加息 $BTC
Just now, the Bank of Japan announced a big news: they decided not to raise interest rates, and keep the current interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. This decision is the same as everyone guessed before.
Why did the Bank of Japan do this? They think that Japan's economy is slowly getting better, but it is not time to raise interest rates yet. Moreover, the recent fluctuations in the exchange rate of the yen have reduced the pressure of price increases, so they think they can wait a little longer.
Kazuo Ueda, the boss of the Bank of Japan, also said that if Japan's economy and prices develop as they expect, they will continue to raise interest rates. But now, they think there is still time to take it slow.
Prices in Japan have risen very fast recently, and have accelerated for four consecutive months, which is higher than the 2% target set by the Bank of Japan. But Kazuo Ueda said that they think this rising trend can be controlled.
The market reaction is also very interesting. As soon as the Bank of Japan's decision came out, the exchange rate of the yen against the US dollar rose, but after Kazuo Ueda spoke, the yen fell a little again. The Japanese stock market rose quite happily at first, but then the increase narrowed.
Some experts predict that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates again later this year or early next year. But it is hard to say, it depends on the situation of the economy and financial markets.
In general, the Bank of Japan is taking a step-by-step approach now. They want to ensure that the economy is stable and prices are under control before deciding what to do next.
#日本加息 $BTC
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[There is a lot of right and wrong before the halving, hold the spot and wait for the return! Why is Bitcoin plummeting? Why did Japan raise interest rates and U.S. stocks soar? What is the Fed’s monetary policy forecast tomorrow? Others are fearful but I am greedy! 】
It is expected that during this correction, the counterfeit spot price will fall by about 20-30%, or as much as 40%. The contract estimates that the entire army is likely to be annihilated. After Japan announced a rate hike, U.S. stocks rose instead of falling. On March 19, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively closed higher, with the S&P 500 hitting a record closing high. The Dow rose 0.83%, the S&P 500 rose 0.56%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.39%.
The Federal Reserve is holding a two-day monetary policy meeting and will announce the results on Wednesday. The Fed is widely expected to remain on hold. U.S. housing starts rebounded sharply, recording the largest increase since May last year. The Bank of Japan ended its long-standing negative interest rate policy and raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years.
Bitcoin fell below the key level of $62,000, and more than 240,000 people liquidated their positions. Bitcoin has been rising since the Spring Festival without a proper correction in the middle, which means that there is not enough change of hands at each support point and the strength is not enough. Once the rise is weak, there will be a rout-like decline.
Japan's interest rate hike and the U.S. interest rate discussion meeting are held one after another. The advantage is that the negative news is released at the same time. The judgment on this round of bull market remains unchanged. Holding spot stocks and covering positions step by step is the only recommended idea at present.
#热门话题 #BTC #ETH #日本加息 #减半
It is expected that during this correction, the counterfeit spot price will fall by about 20-30%, or as much as 40%. The contract estimates that the entire army is likely to be annihilated. After Japan announced a rate hike, U.S. stocks rose instead of falling. On March 19, the three major U.S. stock indexes collectively closed higher, with the S&P 500 hitting a record closing high. The Dow rose 0.83%, the S&P 500 rose 0.56%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.39%.
The Federal Reserve is holding a two-day monetary policy meeting and will announce the results on Wednesday. The Fed is widely expected to remain on hold. U.S. housing starts rebounded sharply, recording the largest increase since May last year. The Bank of Japan ended its long-standing negative interest rate policy and raised interest rates for the first time in 17 years.
Bitcoin fell below the key level of $62,000, and more than 240,000 people liquidated their positions. Bitcoin has been rising since the Spring Festival without a proper correction in the middle, which means that there is not enough change of hands at each support point and the strength is not enough. Once the rise is weak, there will be a rout-like decline.
Japan's interest rate hike and the U.S. interest rate discussion meeting are held one after another. The advantage is that the negative news is released at the same time. The judgment on this round of bull market remains unchanged. Holding spot stocks and covering positions step by step is the only recommended idea at present.
#热门话题 #BTC #ETH #日本加息 #减半