Are you ready for the next round of repayments from Mt. Gox?

This Thursday, Bitstamp Exchange will begin processing Mt. Gox's repayments, and the repayment amount will be nearly $9 billion! This is the second round of repayments after Kraken processed 36% of the repayments.

At this point, everyone can't help but ask, will this have a new round of impact on the price of Bitcoin? The final answer, I believe, can only be revealed by the market.

As I often remind everyone, the market trend is unpredictable. Sometimes, seemingly unfavorable news may cause the market to rise; and those seemingly favorable news may not necessarily drive the market to a good direction.

Take the online trading of Ethereum spot ETF as a good example. After it was online for trading in the past two days, the price of Ethereum has experienced a round of correction.

Therefore, we should not try to speculate on the market trend, but be prepared for various possible market trends. Whether the market is rising, sideways or falling, as long as you have a corresponding strategy to deal with it, you will not be affected by price fluctuations.

It is worth noting that the recent repayment of Mt. Gox and Trump's upcoming speech at the Bitcoin Conference have brought great uncertainty to the market. On the one hand, the repayment of Mt. Gox may bring huge selling pressure to the Bitcoin market; on the other hand, although the content of Trump's speech is unknown, the market generally believes that it will be good news.

In this case, the long-short offensive and defensive battle in the market has become particularly fierce. But if you are a long-term holder, then the sideways, rising or falling market is not a big problem for you.

Therefore, the top priority for investors now is to gradually convert cash into crypto assets led by Bitcoin through a fixed investment (DCA) strategy, which is a wise choice.

At the same time, given that cash will depreciate due to inflation, while Bitcoin may continue to appreciate over time, converting cash to Bitcoin will be a wise choice in the long run.

For the upcoming repayment of Mt. Gox on the Bitstamp exchange, what impact do you think it will have on the price of Bitcoin?

#MtGox还款 #加密货币市场 #投资者策略 #定投策略

[Ethereum Foundation sell-off: What is the market impact? ]
Recently, the frequent sell-off of ETH by the Ethereum Foundation has caused a stir in the currency circle. What kind of market logic is hidden behind this behavior? What far-reaching impact will it have on the cryptocurrency market?
First, the sell-off directly exacerbated the uncertainty of the market. Investors' confidence in the future development of Ethereum has been shaken, and they have chosen to sell to avoid risks, causing ETH prices to be under pressure in the short term. This chain reaction is not limited to Ethereum itself, but may also affect the entire cryptocurrency market, triggering a chain reaction.
Second, the sell-off of the Ethereum Foundation may imply a certain judgment on the market or project prospects. Whether this judgment is based on financial needs, risk management or strategic adjustments, it may have a demonstration effect on investors and thus affect market trends.
However, we also need to look at this incident rationally. As an important force in the blockchain field, the Ethereum Foundation's actions often have multiple purposes and far-reaching considerations. The sell-off may be just part of its overall strategy, not just a simple market operation.
For investors, they should remain calm and rational in the face of market fluctuations. In-depth research on market dynamics, analysis of project fundamentals, and reasonable allocation of assets are the key to dealing with uncertainty. At the same time, we must also recognize the particularity of the cryptocurrency market and be prepared for risk management.
In short, the Ethereum Foundation's selling behavior has undoubtedly brought challenges and opportunities to the market. In this era full of variables, only by maintaining keen insight and a steady mindset can we move forward steadily in the storms of the cryptocurrency circle. #以太坊抛售 # #加密货币市场波动 # #投资者策略 #

🚨 "Wall Street Short God" issues a warning: If Harris is elected, I will withdraw my investment!

John Alfred Paulson, a Wall Street legend and billionaire, recently issued a heavy warning! He said that if Vice President Harris wins this year's election, he will withdraw his investment from the market.

The hedge fund tycoon, who once became famous for his successful short selling during the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis, expressed concerns about Harris' economic policies.

Paulson, the financial tycoon who founded Paulson & Co., is known as the "Wall Street Short God" for his outstanding performance during the financial crisis. He is not only Trump's financial backer, but there are rumors that Paulson may become Treasury Secretary if Trump is re-elected.

In a recent interview, Paulson talked about his outlook for the future of the market. He said that the next big bet depends largely on who will enter the White House and control Congress. He specifically mentioned that he would be very worried if Harris implemented her proposed tax and economic plans.

Paulson explained his concerns in detail: Harris proposed raising corporate tax rates, increasing capital gains tax rates, and even imposing a 25% unrealized capital gains tax on high earners. He predicted that these policies, if implemented, could lead to a market crash and recession.

Paulson added that if Harris is elected, he plans to divest and switch to cash and gold to avoid market uncertainty and potential downside risks caused by his policies, and he will also sell his own stocks.

This is not the first time Paulson has issued such a warning. Last week, he said that Harris's tax plan could cause a financial market crash.

🗣 Conclusion:

Paulson's remarks reveal investors' high sensitivity to policy uncertainty. This is not only a test of market stability, but also a challenge for policymakers.

Therefore, when formulating economic policies, those in power must consider the delicate balance of policy decisions and how these policies can have far-reaching chain reactions in global financial markets.

💬 What do you think of Paulson's warning of possible divestment? Do you think Harris' economic policies will really lead to a market crash?Share your thoughts in the comments!

#市场信心 #经济政策 #投资者策略

📉Bitcoin price falls below $59,000 as US government starts selling BTC

🚨Bitcoin price suffered a heavy fall, falling below the key support level of $59,000. The decline is closely related to the US government's Bitcoin selling action. On Wednesday, 10,000 BTC worth $593 million was transferred from the US government wallet to Coinbase Prime, and the price of Bitcoin fell by more than 3.9% on the day, triggering market concerns about further selling. $BTC

🔎The sell-off is not only a direct pressure on the market, but also a test of investor psychology. However, the US government's Bitcoin wallet currently still holds 203,239 BTC worth $12 billion, and its movement is undoubtedly the latest focus of the market. From the Silk Road to the hacking of the Bitfinex exchange, the US government's Bitcoin reserves have continued to increase, and its handling has also attracted much attention.

🤔The government's selling strategy may affect the market supply and demand relationship, and thus affect the price. In addition, Mt.Gox transferred nearly $2 billion worth of BTC to the BitGo exchange on Tuesday, indicating that a new round of repayment actions is about to begin, which will undoubtedly bring more uncertainty to the market.

🔄However, the market's reaction is not a single dimension, it also involves investors' interpretation and expectations of policy trends. In this case, investors need to pay more attention to market dynamics, as well as the attitudes and actions of policymakers.

🔍Although the market may be affected by government selling in the short term, in the long run, Bitcoin's market performance will be more affected by its fundamentals and the global macroeconomic environment. Investors should remain calm and formulate reasonable investment strategies based on their investment goals and risk tolerance.

👇What do you think of the US government's selling of Bitcoin? Do you think the new round of repayment actions by the US government and Mt.Gox will affect the price of Bitcoin in the long run? What is your strategy in the face of such market fluctuations?

💭Share your insights and strategies in the comment section, and how investors should remain stable in this volatile market.

#比特币价格 #美国政府抛售 #市场分析 #投资者策略 #加密货币市场动态

🔒 75% of Bitcoin has not moved for more than half a year, what is the market brewing?

The current situation in the Bitcoin market is very interesting! At present, up to 75% of Bitcoin has been held for more than six months, which means that in the past six months, these Bitcoins have not been sold at all, and holders generally adopt a strategy of holding coins without moving.

📊 From the second figure below, we can see that long-term holders, that is, investors who have held Bitcoin for more than ten years (purple area), are active and increasing their Bitcoin positions.

At the same time, Bitcoin investors who have held Bitcoin for more than six months (yellow area) account for about 75% of the market share. This shows that most holders have a firm long-term belief in their investment.

💭 What I want to say is that if 75% of Bitcoin in the Bitcoin market is in a holding state, it also provides large institutions with potential opportunities for price manipulation. As we all know, the manipulation ability of these large institutions in the US stock market is obvious to all, and the market value of US stocks is far more than dozens of times that of Bitcoin.

In this context, it does not seem difficult for institutions to manipulate the short-term trend of Bitcoin. Therefore, for investors who are keen on participating in contract trading, it is important to strictly control their leverage and positions to avoid unnecessary risk of liquidation.

📉 At the same time, some analysts pointed out that the current situation of Bitcoin is very similar to the trend before the crash in 2018, 2019 and 2021. In addition, more than 80% of short-term holders (holding Bitcoin for less than 155 days) are still in a loss. If the market ushered in another wave of sharp retracements, these short-term holders are very likely to choose to sell due to pressure, thereby exerting greater selling pressure on the Bitcoin market.

🤔 In Figure 3 below, the total amount of Bitcoin held by short-term holders is about 4.32 million, of which 3.45 million are in a loss. Therefore, whether short-term investors will capitulate and sell in the next wave of market correction is also something worthy of everyone's attention!

Finally, what do you think of the fact that more than 80% of short-term holders in the Bitcoin market are in a loss? Faced with institutional market crashes, can they withstand the downward pressure?See you in the comments section!

#比特币持仓 #市场分析 #投资者策略