Following up on the previous point, here are my current thoughts:
After Christmas, there will almost certainly be a big spike. To avoid risk, I'm not going long right now and I'm not gambling on timing with the main players.
The assets I hold are: $DOGE $SEI $SOL $LPT $STRK $PNUT
Mainly, these have deviated from the 90-day moving average, and the 7-day moving average is showing good coins.
Also, there are strong concept-driven coins in the future.
Currently, I am preparing to sell when the second wave breaks through the designated point, and then wait for lower entries!
Waiting for the right opportunity! The altcoin season will come, but it's still not quite time!
I expect a slight drop on 12.25; on 12.26 there will be a rise, reaching the designated point, and most people will start to FOMO. On 12.27 or 28, there will be a dump to the designated point, followed by a rapid surge within a day. There might be some sideways movement for a day or two in between, but the overall trend will definitely be like this!
Follow me, and if I'm wrong, feel free to criticize me! #圣诞行情分析 #加密市场反弹

On Wednesday morning, during the multi-army Christmas, the Air Force's Christmas heist, where is the main force that was supposed to take a break yesterday? As a result, they turned around and raided the home, bloodily wiping out the Air Force. After several days of decline, a significant rebound has occurred, with this rebound reaching nearly 100,000. In the short term, if it cannot break through, blindly shorting is possible, but it is also worth watching whether it can break through. This is also an opportunity for you to get on board. If there is a strong breakthrough, then patience is required as there may still be enough upward space above, even if it is a spike!

I initially thought that the market after the holiday would fluctuate within a range like the previous two days, but it turned out to have a one-sided surge. This is really a clear washout, and this wave is aiming for the 100,000 mark. Those holding short positions should not get too anxious; combine your situation to do a good job of defending.

Currently, Bitcoin's market continues with a familiar pattern, breaking upward overall, occasionally spiking down to wash out positions, which does not mean there won't be a significant drop; it just indicates that the chips for luring buyers are not yet in place. Always remember, the longer the rise lasts, the more it rises, the bigger the drop. Falling is easier than rising at any time, and for the庄 (the operator), harvesting is also quite handy. The short-term integer mark is the critical point. Friends who want to short can enter with a small position; trading must be counterintuitive!

Morning BTC short-term operation: Rebound in the 99,300-100,000 area, targeting 97,000-95,000!

The status is very strong, the winning streak continues. If you can't gauge the long or short, stick to the strategy and walk alongside! Let's create brilliance again! #圣诞行情分析 #比特币战略储备 #加密市场反弹

#圣诞行情分析 December 25, 2024. Merry Christmas, brothers. Last night's explosive rise was anticipated, as previously analyzed. It is actually closely related to US stock ETFs, and furthermore, the market makers had induced significant panic before the rise, causing many retail investors to hurriedly exit. There was almost no resistance during last night's rise, which reached around 9.9 in the early hours. Additionally, many so-called experts in the square believed that BTC would plummet before the US stock market closed last night. These people do not look at any indicators or market conditions. Blindly trusting your KOL's short signal only leads to your own losses. Today's market is likely to be volatile, with a downward test of the 9.72k support level and an upward breakthrough of 10k. In a bull market, the probability of a large contract going to zero is with short positions. A prudent approach is to go long at low levels. Today, the US stock market is closed, so the market fluctuations should not be too large. Last night's altcoins bought at the bottom on the 20th have accounted for 80% of the profits. In a bull market, securing profits is the most important. However, looking at it now, it seems that taking profits was a bit early. If Bitcoin stays flat during the day, there’s a chance for altcoins to soar again. Finally, trading tests skills, awareness, and courage, not blind following of trends. Follow Xiaoyue as he guides you through 🐮🐻. (No trades, just the purest Web3 community sharing)

Christmas Double Bottom, Caution in Chasing Upward! 12.24 Bitcoin Auntie's Midnight Thought Analysis

Today, the price of white interval coins fluctuated slightly, and in the evening, it directly surged strongly. Bitcoin broke through 98,000, and Ethereum broke through 3,500, giving short selling ideas but unfortunately stopped out! Currently, there is basically no retracement strength in the trend! The Christmas Eve bears were completely wiped out!

From a technical perspective, the daily line has three consecutive bearish candles but closed with a long lower shadow, piercing the lower rail and rebounding. From a structural point of view, the double bottom has been successfully formed. The KDJ fast line has turned up from a low position, and the MACD volume has also begun to shrink, but the three lines of the Bollinger Band are extending forward in parallel and have not contracted, so it cannot yet be confirmed that the decline has completely stopped!

Looking at the four-hour chart, after the three lines of the Bollinger Band contracted, it is now also in a state of parallel extension. During the day, it consolidated, and in the evening, a strong bullish candle pierced the middle rail and rose to near the upper rail. Both KDJ and MACD show a golden cross tendency, and according to the closing line, there is still space above!

Overall, the price of coins has stopped falling and rebounded, with bulls strongly pushing up, and the overall trend is biased towards bulls, but short positions may still be liquidated to chase long positions. Since the US stock market closes at 2 AM today, there may be a risk-off selling trend, so everyone should be cautious in chasing long positions! The pressure positions above are at 98,800, 99,600, 101,000, and near 103,000, while the support positions are at 96,500, 95,000, 93,500, and 92,500.

12.24 Bitcoin Midnight and Next Day Early Morning Trading Ideas: Aggressive traders can enter long positions on a pullback to 95,500-96,000, with a stop loss near 95,000. The target is at 97,000-98,000-98,800, and if broken, look for 99,600-101,000.

Short Selling Idea: Attempt to short near 98,800, with a stop loss of 600 points, targeting near 98,000-97,500-97,000-96,500!

12.24 Ethereum Evening and Next Day Early Morning Trading Ideas: Aggressive traders can enter long positions on a pullback to around 3,380-3,400, with a stop loss of 50 points. The target is at around 3,450-3,500, and if broken, look for 3,550-3,600, and hold based on the situation!

Short Selling Idea: Attempt to short near 3,520, with a stop loss of 40 points, targeting around 3,450-3,400.

Patience for a day, but the points waited for ended up with unfortunate stop-loss! Many indicators are bearish, but they cannot match the determination of the market makers to liquidate short positions. This surge directly broke 98,000, strongly rising by four to five thousand points. Without significant positive news, a pullback to adjust the indicators is expected. Everyone should be cautious in chasing long positions and wait for a pullback to re-enter! #比特币市场波动观察 #圣诞行情分析 #加密市场反弹

12.25 Zhang Lihui: The strategy of going long on dips continues. Can we break through the key level of 3600 on Christmas Eve? Today's latest Ethereum (ETH) market analysis and trading reference! #圣诞行情分析
The Ethereum market once again validates Lihui's recent thinking. After taking a hundred points on the short position the day before yesterday, although the long entry point yesterday was not reached, it still came up as Lihui expected; we can see on the 1-hour chart that after the candlestick pierced above the EMA220 in the early morning, it formed a pullback again. Currently, the first support below is considered at the intersection of EMA120 and EMA30. The defensive position is set at the dual lines of EMA80 and EMA60 below, while the top pressure can be seen at the EMA300 position looking for a breakthrough; in the MACD, there is again an increase in volume below the 0 axis, and the fast and slow lines are forming a death cross, indicating there is still a demand for a pullback. Since there is room for a pullback, it presents a buying opportunity!
On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands channel is moving upwards, and the bulls are gradually emerging unconsciously. The candlestick is also indicating that there will be a pullback at the EMA220. The support below looks at the EMA30 and the middle line position. It seems that the 3400 support level is also quite strong, while the top continues to focus on breaking through the EMA120, which is the 3600 level; in the MACD, the volume above the 0 axis is beginning to decrease, but combined with the hourly chart, if the intraday pullback is slow, then the convergence of the fast and slow lines will be weak, and by the evening, a new round of increases may occur! Of course, all of this is Lihui's opinion. How the market moves will be verified by time. What we need to do is to act at key positions and continuously give ourselves opportunities for light positions and trial trades! Continue to maintain the concept of small losses and large profits in trading!
Beijing time December 25, 9:20 AM Editor: It is recommended to continue light positions to try long in the 3430-3400 range; reserve the 3280-3300 range for additional positions; stop-loss at 3250; the target looks at 3480-3530-3580; if breaking through the 3590-3610 range, you can continue to hold;
For short positions, also pay attention to the 3590-3610 range. If it does not break, lightly intervene in the short position, targeting a hundred points of space! Specific operations can be consulted with Lihui for entry based on real-time changes!
There is a delay in article review and push notifications; the market changes rapidly. Specific entry opportunities must be combined with real-time operations, and notifications are subject to real-time updates. The suggested points in the article are for reference only; do not operate with heavy positions. Please set take-profit and stop-loss when entering, and take profit when you see good opportunities! $ETH

12.25 Morning Strategy, can we continue to surge on Christmas Eve.

Yesterday, Bitcoin made its way through various hurdles, reaching the upper resistance level of 995, and began to pull back under pressure, currently hovering around this area. On the daily chart, it has shown a series of bearish candles, and only started to rebound yesterday. We can pay attention to the range provided by Da Shan, which has been oscillating within this range in recent days, with the upper level around 995 and the lower level around 915-930. This was already indicated a few days ago, so the prediction is that it will not stand above 100,000 again. Today's layout can be focused on the rebound range.

Looking at the short term, on the hourly level, the price has reached above the middle track, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing inward, and the MACD bullish momentum is starting to decrease. We should pay attention to whether the bearish momentum begins to increase, while the RSI is operating steadily.

For Ethereum, the price is near the middle track, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing inward, the MACD bearish momentum is starting to increase, and there is still some downward space in the short term, with the KDJ overall in a downward trend. In the short term, we should pay attention to whether it breaks below the middle track.

Operation:
Bitcoin around 991-985 range, target down to 971-976.

Ethereum around 354-350 range, target down to 340-344. #加密市场反弹 #比特币市场波动观察 #圣诞行情分析 #BTC #ETH $BTC $ETH $SOL

12.25 Early Morning Thoughts
We review last night's market movements. After breaking through the four-hour level resistance, the market has shown a four-hour level rebound. We can see that this round of rebound is particularly strong, and its impressive momentum is astonishing! Christmas market trends generally do not pull like this. Before the US stock market holiday, big players stealthily manipulated the market, burying retail investors!
We observe that the current shorts are in a terrible situation! The evening thoughts of Zhenkang see a rebound in shorts, narrowly escaping the market's cleansing! The remaining shorts are likely to be wiped out!
Of course, for the future market, we still need to maintain a positive mindset. Avoid letting emotions affect operations.
We judge that the market may still see a pullback. Here we focus on the small level support zone of 95000 - 95500. If it doesn't drop to this range, we will continue with the rebound strategy and look to buy; if it unfortunately closes below the important level of 95000, then it means this round of rebound has temporarily come to an end.
The market will enter a new adjustment phase. There might be a period of sideways movement, and some degree of decline may occur, but in any case, this will mark the end of the current round of rebound.
Suggestions
Short at around 98300--98500 for Bitcoin, looking down to 96800.
Short at around 3500-3515 for Ethereum, looking down to 3425.
#BTC☀ #ETH #圣诞行情分析 #加密市场反弹 #圣诞行情分析 $ETH $BTC

1. The cryptocurrency market during Christmas lacks liquidity, the price of $BTC is completely manipulated, with wild fluctuations causing both long and short liquidations.
Even though the price moves significantly, the liquidation volume is not large, with $236 million liquidated in 24 hours, resulting in both long and short liquidations.
Current liquidation data: falling below 92k, liquidating long positions of 3.1 billion; rising above 100k, liquidating short positions of 1.2 billion.
Liquidation data is dynamic, changing with price trends, especially after liquidations, it will be rearranged.
2. Altcoin trends are solely dependent on $ETH; as long as the price of $ETH remains strong, altcoin markets will perform.
The data for yesterday's spot ETF has not yet been fully updated, but $BTC shows a net outflow while $ETH shows a net inflow, which is also the main reason for the strength of $ETH's price.
Due to weak liquidity during the holiday, the arrival of altcoin season cannot be confirmed at this time.
3. MicroStrategy plans to issue more stock and split its shares, proposing to split 330 million common shares, increasing to 10.3 billion shares.
In the short term, this is unfavorable for investors holding stocks as their shares will be diluted, but in the long term, it should be beneficial.
The funds raised from the issuance will be partly used to pay off debts and for daily operations, while most will be allocated to a $42 billion purchase plan for $BTC. #加密市场反弹 #圣诞行情分析

Will there be a market crash tomorrow?

Let me share my thoughts.

The bears say that tomorrow the foreigners will be celebrating, and they need to cash out to buy New Year goods,

Historically, this definitely leads to a market crash; every Christmas there has been a market crash,

So the bears are just waiting for tomorrow's Christmas market crash to feast.

But the market makers have already anticipated the bears' predictions.

This time, the bears might be disappointed.

Don't forget, the U.S. stock market is closed on Christmas, so there will be less chance of a market crash! Therefore, it will either be sideways or a market rally.

Moreover, Bitcoin and Ethereum have already reached low levels, at 94,000 and 3,400, respectively, and there are significant support levels below; they have already dropped as much as they can, and the negative news has already been digested in the past few days. The people who needed to exit have already exited, so how could they suddenly exit during Christmas?

My suggestion is to quickly position yourself in some mainstream altcoins; there is plenty of room for growth. Next month, with Trump back in office, there will definitely be benefits for the crypto space. By then, it will be too late to position yourself. If you’re unsure which coin to invest in, just follow me, and you can position yourself in high-potential coins ahead of time.

Key focus: $UNI $ZEN $SUI PNUT

#加密市场反弹 #圣诞行情分析

Recently, to be honest. Contracts are actually a waste of time. If you are a smart person, choosing to lie flat is actually the best operation. The United States has a two-week Christmas holiday, and China is close to the New Year, and retail investors also withdraw money. Liquidity will drop drastically, the dealers are also on holiday, and the American leeks are also on vacation. Or go to the bank to borrow money and prepare to wait for Trump to take office.
However, any silent, seemingly calm market, small fluctuations, and not much up and down are also the dealers' long-term planning and long-planned slaughter. Because comfort can make retail investors relax their assessment of danger.
At present, around 92199, there are 1.254 billion accumulated longs that need to be cleared, and around 96119, there are also 1.149 billion accumulated shorts that need to be slaughtered. So it's just a matter of 2,000 points up and down.
From the current situation, BTC is in the daily level correction pattern. It has not really corrected yet. It should be one needle away, but this needle should not be inserted immediately. According to the layout of the dealer, it should be killed about two weeks before the rise in February, that is, in mid-January. The current support below is 90,500, the reasonable 88,000, and the limit 85,000. At this time, a small fluctuation is accumulating long and short funds, because in order to obtain the maximum benefit, it should be enough for the bulls to accumulate. Finally, a decisive blow, and then a pullback upward, opening the crazy rise in the second half of the bull market.
Why do I say this? Because Trump can only be president for one term in his life. He is ambitious and wise. At least he should leave behind a thousand great achievements. Then the surge in the stock market highlights his political performance standards. If the stock market continues to be bullish, then the currency circle will continue to be bullish.
Recently, choosing to lie flat should be able to avoid the slaughter. Don't lose all your chips before the bull market pulls again. $BTC #加密市场反弹 #圣诞行情分析

Wednesday, December 25th, Christmas node, upward pressure turns into a handover

Yesterday was Christmas Eve, the US stock market was closed, and the rhythm of the day continued with slight fluctuations. In the evening, it gradually rose, reaching a peak around 99,500. The originally calm market surged significantly, with an overall rebound space of nearly 6,000 points, which was beyond expectations. During yesterday's trading, the day session saw back-and-forth movements with both long and short positions achieving decent profits. The day session was not large, and after a slight rest in the evening, the market did show significant stretches, making it a pity to miss the next round of increases! Currently, there are signs of stagnation at high levels, with the increase coming to a halt. The short-term strategy should continue to focus on high short positions.

Currently, although the coin price has rebounded to a certain extent, the rebound is ultimately under pressure in the mid-range of the daily chart. This indicates that there is still certain pressure above. After the market provided an increase of over 6,000 points, it failed to continue upward. As we have mentioned before, the market will not always rise or always fall. After the increase, there is a pause, and at this time, it is essential to focus on the market's pullback rather than blindly chasing the rise. Chasing highs and killing lows is also a big taboo in the industry. The 4-hour chart shows pressure at the upper range during the rebound, so do not chase the rise at high levels; just adopt a high short strategy!

On Wednesday morning, it is suggested to short Bitcoin around 99,000-99,500, targeting 97,000-95,000. For Ethereum, it is recommended to long around 3,510-3,530, targeting 3,400-3,300.

Considering a thousand times is not as good as doing it once; hesitating ten thousand times is not as good as practicing once; a glorious fall is better than meaningless wandering. Your future self will definitely thank your current self for working hard.

Bitcoin Christmas Market Prediction: How Should Retail Investors Respond to Price Fluctuations?
$BTC
Look! History seems to be repeating itself! Christmas is approaching, and the price of Bitcoin is starting to get 'naughty' again. Here are the key points you need to know:

Patterns:
Looking back at previous years, the price of Bitcoin tends to 'jump up and down' during the Christmas period. Retail investors often get confused by market speculation and end up losing money if they are not careful.

Why does this happen:
Insufficient liquidity: Many institutional traders stop trading during the holidays, making the market appear 'quiet and desolate'. Big players 'stirring trouble': Those who hold large amounts of Bitcoin may take advantage of the market's quietness to 'make waves'. FOMO psychology: When retail investors see the market 'hot', they can't help but want to jump in, often resulting in entering at the wrong time.

How to respond:
1️⃣ Don't trade impulsively: Stick to your trading principles and don't let emotions take over.
2️⃣ Keep an eye on key price levels: Always monitor Bitcoin's support and resistance levels.
3️⃣ Diversify investments: Don't put all your money in one place; 'don't put all your eggs in one basket'.

Take this opportunity to research your investment plan for 2025 thoroughly. Don't let the festive atmosphere cloud your judgment!
What do you think Bitcoin will do this Christmas? Share your thoughts!
#圣诞行情分析 #加密市场反弹
In the upcoming layout direction, I will guide everyone to aim for the lucrative opportunities in altcoins, especially those projects with high potential. A projected growth of 10 times or more is definitely possible. If you want to make big money in the bull market, like and comment, and I'll help you plan for the entire bull market!

#In the most difficult and extraordinary days, work silently, and one day, you will stand in the brightest place, living as the person you once wanted to be!

On Wednesday, the bulls welcomed a special trading day for Christmas, while the bears encountered a Christmas disaster. Previously, it was expected that the main force would take a break; however, contrary to expectations, the market staged a counterattack, leading to a bloodbath for the bears. After a series of declines, the market experienced a strong rebound, with the rebound strength approaching the 100,000 mark.

It was originally expected that the market would continue the range-bound pattern from the previous two days after the holiday break, but the market instead exhibited a one-sided rally, clearly undergoing a cleansing process, aiming directly at the 100,000 threshold. Investors holding short positions must remain calm and manage risk according to their personal situation. At the same time, long positions should also guard against accumulation and washout!

Short-term trading ideas for midday
Bitcoin around 99,000, with resistance at 100,000; ensure to defend, first look at the lower level of 96,000, then 94,000, and next 92,000.

Ethereum around 3,500, looking down to 3,300/3,200.

Nothing is constant; strategies must be timely, and real trading is even more exciting! #加密市场反弹 #比特币战略储备 #圣诞行情分析 #比特币市场波动观察 #币安LaunchpoolBIO $BTC $ETH

Wednesday: Christmas Eve recovery upward, is there a retreat on Christmas Day?

Only those who lie forever in the mud will not fall into the pit again. With uncertain worries ahead and great troubles behind, it is advisable to prepare for rain before it comes, rather than digging a well when thirsty. Do not often feel that you are very unfortunate; there are many people who suffer more than you. It's not that the road has come to an end, but rather that it needs to change.

Yesterday evening's market saw a continuous recovery and rise, but ultimately faced pressure at the 99500 level. The bulls seem to be aggressive, but have yet to reach a breakout rally pattern. Currently, there is high-level consolidation, and it is not a step to the sky.

From a technical structure perspective, on the four-hour level, the price has seen a strong rise and is consolidating in the upper track area. The bullish momentum is arranged and released, but there is a state of pressure. In the short term, after a high surge, there was a second wave of upward probing, which still hasn't formed a strong breakout. The bullish endurance is not strong, and with the atmosphere of the market closing, do not excessively chase after the rise.

Today's thinking is to focus on testing pressure for short positions:

In terms of operations, I personally suggest shorting in the 98800-99200 area, looking at 97300-96800.

The collective increase of Shanzhai is greater than BTC
Tomorrow is Christmas
The cryptocurrency market will surge on Christmas
This round is the US bull market, and the US stock market will be closed tomorrow
Only the cryptocurrency market can be traded tomorrow
The cryptocurrency market will surge on Christmas
The 93,000-100,000 surge is expected to rise
#圣诞行情分析 $BTC
$ETH

$ETH 12.25 Midday Analysis

The four-hour K-line for the big cake has just completed a downward mesh expansion trend, and the K-line immediately rebounded with a strong bullish candle piercing through the trend line and standing at a high position. It is currently consolidating above 98000, with MACD continuously increasing volume and accumulating positions. The upper Bollinger Band at 98800 has been lost, and the short-term market is approaching the overbought zone, indicating valid space above. Today is Christmas, and there is unlikely to be a black swan event, so the probability of a bull trap is very high. After another attempt to breach the 100,000 mark, one can consider entering a short position.

The second cake's upward pressure at 3555 has not been broken, and it has started to show a pullback and consolidation on a smaller scale, with support at 3433.3364 on the downside. If the four-hour closing line falls below 3433, this four-hour level rebound will be considered over. If it does not break below, we will continue to look for a rebound. Upper pressure levels: 3576.3719. If the daily level breaks and stabilizes above 3576, and the daily level correction is completed, there will be a wave of daily level increases #比特币市场波动观察 #圣诞行情分析 #加密市场反弹

Things in the Crypto World, Here's How Retail Investors Should Act [Yay]

1. Why has the crypto market rebounded? [Puzzled]

The US is expected to cut interest rates:

The slowdown in the US economy leads to expectations of rate cuts, stimulating market liquidity, reducing costs, and increasing risk appetite. The crypto market becomes a safe haven for funds, and optimistic sentiment boosts coin prices.

Christmas is here:

Traditional markets are closed, and the crypto market's high volatility and high returns attract short-term capital inflows, causing fluctuations in coin prices.

2. What is the current situation in the crypto market? [Thinking]

Although the crypto market has rebounded, liquidity is tight, and coin prices are prone to fluctuations. The rebound lacks support, and its sustainability is questionable, leaving retail investors facing high uncertainty.

3. How should retail investors act?

Short-term strategy:

Strictly adhere to trading discipline, trade based on signals, calculate the profit-loss ratio well, and set appropriate take-profit and stop-loss orders.

Long-term strategy:

Now is a good opportunity to increase positions during the bull market correction. Seize the chance to acquire low-priced chips for future profits. #比特币战略储备 #圣诞行情分析 #加密市场反弹

Christmas Eve and Christmas Day, at this critical moment, everyone is starting to reveal their trump cards, otherwise how can we continue playing later!

Last night, I specifically mentioned that those who want to make more can try to buy in at low prices. Ethereum has already dropped to the bottom, and although Bitcoin is slower, it is expected to follow suit.

Ethereum has really surged during this period, while Bitcoin has been a bit sluggish.

This is the first time in recent days that I have asked everyone to stop shorting Ethereum. Yesterday, I reminded everyone that it would be worthwhile to try buying about 30% of their positions near 3200; the price is really suitable.

Everyone thinks Ethereum at 3000 is cheap and rushes to buy it, while Bitcoin is not as popular.

But does this mean it’s going to be harder for Ethereum to rise?

That's right, patience is required, and don't leverage too high. Weekly adjustments may lead to price increases, but there's a chance it can drop back down; however, don’t miss out on low-risk opportunities to make big money!

Speaking of shorting Ethereum, now you can try buying in at low prices first. The daily bottom rebound mentioned last night must be seized.

Why not short for now?

Because the 5-7 day moving average on the daily chart is quite strong and has been hovering above. Also, there’s a golden cross trend on the daily chart, so there’s not much space left for shorting.

As I mentioned before, if you think it will return to 4000+, you need to prepare in advance!

The adjustment for Bitcoin seems not to be over yet; the 4-hour fluctuation range hasn’t opened, and it’s been hovering below, unable to reach the middle track.

The trading volume isn’t sufficient; after all, Ethereum's ETF data shows it has genuinely been bought more than Bitcoin, at 126 million USD!

So moving forward, Ethereum is strong while Bitcoin is weak; that’s quite normal, given the trading volume.

Will it still drop?

For those looking to enter at 2800, don’t be anxious; it will have to rise first before falling, luring some people in at 34-35 to trap them before it drops. The MACD on the 3-day chart has just started showing red bars; we’ll have to wait for further declines.

For the upcoming layout direction, I will guide everyone to aim for the lucrative opportunities in altcoins, with expected returns of over 10 times being feasible. Like and comment, and I’ll help you layout the entire bull market!

During the Christmas holiday, traditional markets enter a shutdown, while the cryptocurrency market sees a significant rise driven by Bitcoin. Currently, the maximum pain point for BTC options is $84,000, and for ETH, it is $3,000. However, based on market performance, it is highly likely that this year's annual maximum pain point will become invalid, similar to previous years. Furthermore, the short-term implied volatility (IV) continues to decline compared to yesterday, and the market makers are nearing the end of their position adjustments. It is expected that IV will mainly remain stable before the end of the year. During the Christmas holiday to the end of the year delivery period, market liquidity is poor, and the momentum needed for price changes is small, which may continue to present a volatile market.

From the candlestick analysis, the hourly chart has been continuously fluctuating downwards since last weekend, falling from 99,500 to 92,500. Currently, with the 99-day moving average and the 25-day moving average forming a golden cross, the downward wave structure is declared over, and future market trends will be more focused on the turning point of the 99-day moving average to determine the direction of the weekly K development. However, the current unfortunate situation is that the AO momentum histogram is showing a reduction, and short-term upward movement may face obstacles. It is not recommended to continue going long.